Barnes shows a solid 54.2% over rate on blocks with 1 day rest, averaging 1.38 blocks against a typical 1.04 line for a meaningful +0.34 differential. Despite a current 4-game under streak, the 13-11 record and positive differential support a lean over approach.
Expert Analysis
The 54.2% over rate on blocks props with 1 day rest reveals Barnes's defensive engagement when properly rested. His 1.38 average significantly exceeds the typical 1.04 line, creating consistent value for over bettors. The +0.34 differential suggests oddsmakers may undervalue his shot-blocking ability in this rest scenario. Barnes's versatility as a forward-guard allows him to roam defensively and generate blocks from help positions, particularly effective when his legs are fresh after one day of rest. The current 4-game under streak represents normal variance rather than a fundamental shift, especially given his longest over streak reached 6 games during this sample. The positive 3.4% ROI on overs demonstrates sustainable profitability, while the harsh -12.5% under ROI warns against fading this trend. Barnes's defensive instincts and physical tools remain consistent, making this rest-based edge likely to persist. The 24-game sample from November through March provides adequate data across different opponents and game situations, lending credibility to the pattern.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 1.38 average against a 1.04 line creates legitimate value, supported by a 54.2% over rate and positive ROI. The current 4-game under streak appears to be natural variance rather than a trend reversal. Target this spot when Barnes has exactly 1 day rest and the line sits at 1.0 or lower for maximum edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Scottie Barnes's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Barnes has gone 13-11 over on blocks props with 1 day rest, hitting 54.2% of overs. His 1.38 average significantly exceeds the typical 1.04 line, creating a +0.34 differential that favors over betting.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Scottie Barnes Blocks 1 day rest?
Bet the over on Barnes blocks with 1 day rest. The 54.2% hit rate, 1.38 average, and +3.4% ROI on overs provide clear value despite his current 4-game under streak representing normal variance.
What's Scottie Barnes's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Barnes averages 1.38 blocks with 1 day rest compared to the typical 1.04 line. This +0.34 differential represents significant value, as he consistently exceeds expectations in this rest scenario across 24 games.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Barnes blocks overs specifically with 1 day rest when the line is 1.0 or lower. His fresh legs enhance defensive positioning and shot-blocking ability, creating the optimal conditions for exceeding expectations.