Russell Westbrook's three-point shooting has been ice cold, hitting the under in 70% of his last 10 games with a brutal -42.7% ROI on overs. Currently riding a four-game under streak while averaging just 0.5 makes against a 0.7 line, creating clear value on the under side.
Expert Analysis
Russell Westbrook's three-point struggles represent a fundamental shift in his offensive role and effectiveness from beyond the arc. The 30% over rate tells only part of the story—the -0.2 differential between his 0.5 average and the typical 0.7 line reveals consistent market overvaluation of his deep shooting ability. This isn't variance; it's a player whose three-point confidence has eroded significantly. Westbrook's shot selection has become increasingly conservative from deep, often passing up marginally contested looks that he would have taken earlier in his career. The four-game under streak aligns with his reduced minutes and secondary role within the Clippers' offense, where he's primarily functioning as a playmaker rather than a volume shooter. His three-point attempts have become more situational and less frequent, making the under a mathematically sound proposition. The 33.6% ROI on unders demonstrates clear market inefficiency, as books continue setting lines that reflect Westbrook's reputation rather than his current production. This trend appears sustainable given his role limitations and the team's emphasis on more efficient shooters taking the majority of three-point attempts.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The combination of a 70% under rate, negative differential, and current four-game streak creates solid value on the under side. Westbrook's reduced three-point volume in his current role supports continued under performance. Primary risk is a blowout game where garbage time inflates his attempts, but the overall trend strongly favors the under.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Russell Westbrook props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Russell Westbrook's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Russell Westbrook has gone over his three-point prop in just 3 of his last 10 games (30% rate) with a record of 3-7-0. The under has been significantly more profitable with a 33.6% ROI compared to -42.7% on overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Russell Westbrook 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet the under on Russell Westbrook's three-point props. He's hitting just 0.5 makes per game against a typical 0.7 line, creating a -0.2 differential. The 70% under rate and positive ROI make this a clear value play.
What's Russell Westbrook's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Russell Westbrook is averaging 0.5 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which is 0.2 below the typical 0.7 line. This negative differential of -0.2 shows he's consistently falling short of market expectations from beyond the arc.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Russell Westbrook three-point unders when he's in a reduced role or when the Clippers have their full complement of shooters healthy. His current four-game under streak suggests optimal conditions for continued under performance in his secondary offensive role.