P.J. Washington's steals props have been profitable territory over his last 10 games, hitting the over 60% of the time with a solid 6-4 record. His 1.2 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.8 line, creating a +0.4 edge that translates to +14.6% ROI on overs.
Expert Analysis
Washington's recent defensive engagement represents a meaningful shift from his season-long patterns, with his 1.2 steals per game over this 10-game stretch indicating heightened activity in passing lanes. The +0.4 differential above typical lines suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his increased defensive aggression, particularly since joining Dallas mid-season. This uptick likely stems from his expanded role in the Mavericks' switching defense, where his versatility allows him to guard multiple positions and create more steal opportunities. The 60% hit rate over 10 games provides legitimate sample size confidence, especially when combined with the strong ROI metrics. However, the alternating streaks (longest over and under both at 3 games) suggest some volatility in his defensive output. Washington's steal production tends to correlate with increased minutes and defensive responsibility, both of which have been consistent factors in Dallas's rotation. The main regression risk lies in potential rest games or blowout scenarios where defensive intensity naturally decreases, but his current role stability suggests this trend has staying power through the season's final stretch.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Washington's 1.2 average creating a +0.4 edge above standard lines represents genuine value, supported by his expanded defensive role in Dallas. The 60% hit rate over 10 games provides solid sample confidence, while the +14.6% ROI on overs confirms profitability. Target games where Washington projects for 30+ minutes in competitive matchups, avoiding potential rest scenarios or likely blowouts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is P.J. Washington's Steals prop record last 10 games?
Washington has gone over his steals prop 6 times in his last 10 games for a 60% success rate. He's averaging 1.2 steals per game during this stretch, significantly above the typical 0.8 line offered by sportsbooks.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on P.J. Washington Steals last 10 games?
Lean over on Washington's steals props. His 1.2 average creates a +0.4 edge above standard lines, with 60% hit rate and +14.6% ROI proving profitable. Focus on competitive games where he projects for full minutes.
What's P.J. Washington's average Steals last 10 games?
Washington is averaging 1.2 steals per game over his last 10 contests, which is 0.4 steals above the typical 0.8 line. This differential has created consistent value for over bettors with strong ROI metrics.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Washington steals overs in competitive games where he projects for 30+ minutes. Avoid potential rest games or likely blowouts where defensive intensity drops. His expanded role in Dallas creates consistent steal opportunities through versatility.