Pascal Siakam's three-pointer props present a compelling under opportunity with just 40.0% overs hitting across 55 games. His 0.89 average sits 0.14 makes below the typical 1.03 line, generating +14.6% ROI on unders while overs hemorrhage -23.6%. The current three-game under streak reinforces this systematic edge.
Expert Analysis
Siakam's three-point struggles reflect his evolving role and inherent limitations as a perimeter shooter. At 0.89 makes per game against a 1.03 line, the market consistently overvalues his outside shooting despite clear evidence of regression. His 40.0% over rate isn't random variance—it's systematic underperformance driven by shot selection and efficiency issues. The -0.14 differential between his average and the line creates sustainable value, particularly when considering his career-long inconsistency from deep. Books appear slow to adjust lines downward, likely influenced by his overall scoring prowess and All-Star reputation. The recent 10-game under streak within the sample demonstrates extended cold periods that define his three-point output. While he's capable of hot stretches—evidenced by a four-game over streak—these are outliers rather than the norm. His role as a primary scorer often pulls him toward mid-range and paint touches, naturally limiting three-point attempts. The mathematical edge is clear: betting unders at current pricing exploits the market's persistent overvaluation of Siakam's perimeter shooting.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 40.0% over rate and +14.6% under ROI create a mathematical edge that outweighs recent variance concerns. Target spots where the line sits at 1.0 or higher, particularly when Siakam faces length on the perimeter or in pace-down games. The primary risk is an unexpected hot streak, but his track record suggests regression to his sub-1.0 average remains the higher probability outcome.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Pascal Siakam's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Siakam's three-pointer props show 22 overs and 33 unders across 55 games, hitting the over just 40.0% of the time. This poor over rate has generated -23.6% ROI for over bettors while under bettors enjoy +14.6% returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Pascal Siakam 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Siakam's three-pointer props. His 40.0% over rate and 0.89 average versus 1.03 typical lines create clear mathematical value on unders, especially when lines sit at 1.0 or higher in favorable matchup spots.
What's Pascal Siakam's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Siakam averages 0.89 three-pointers made per game across this 55-game sample. This sits 0.14 makes below the typical 1.03 line, creating consistent value on under bets when books price him above his actual output level.
How reliable is this trend?
Target under bets when Siakam's line is 1.0 or higher, particularly against teams with strong perimeter defense or in slower-paced games. His extended cold streaks make unders most profitable during neutral or unfavorable three-point shooting conditions.