OG Anunoby's three-point shooting transforms at Madison Square Garden, hitting overs at a 72.7% clip (8-3-0 record) while averaging 2.27 makes versus a typical 1.68 line. This +0.6 differential has generated a robust 38.8% ROI on overs. The home court advantage creates a compelling lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
The Madison Square Garden effect on OG Anunoby's three-point production represents one of the clearest home-road disparities in the NBA. Anunoby's 2.27 average at home significantly outpaces the standard 1.68 line, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his elevated home shooting frequency. This isn't merely variance—the consistency of the trend across 11 games indicates systematic factors at play. Home court comfort likely enhances Anunoby's shot selection and rhythm, while the Knicks' offensive system may create more favorable three-point looks in familiar surroundings. The 72.7% over rate demonstrates remarkable persistence, with only three under results in the entire sample. However, the recent one-game under streak, while minimal, could signal potential regression. The key risk lies in whether this trend reflects sustainable shooting improvement or an unsustainable hot streak that oddsmakers will eventually correct. Given Anunoby's career shooting patterns and the sample size, this appears to be a legitimate home court advantage rather than random variance.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 72.7% over rate and +0.6 differential create clear value, particularly when the line sits at 1.5 or below. Anunoby's home three-point frequency appears genuinely elevated rather than fluky, supported by consistent shot creation in New York's system. The primary risk is regression to career norms, but the trend's persistence suggests legitimate factors beyond variance. Target games where the line remains conservative.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is OG Anunoby's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?
OG Anunoby has hit the over on his three-pointers made prop in 8 of 11 home games (72.7% rate) with a 38.8% ROI. Only three games have gone under, making this one of the most reliable home trends this season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on OG Anunoby 3-Pointers Made home games?
Lean over on OG Anunoby's three-pointers made at home. The 72.7% over rate and +0.6 differential from his 2.27 average versus typical 1.68 lines create clear value, especially when the number stays at 1.5 or below.
What's OG Anunoby's average 3-Pointers Made home games?
OG Anunoby averages 2.27 three-pointers made in home games, significantly above the typical 1.68 line. This +0.6 differential represents substantial value and suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his elevated home shooting frequency.
How reliable is this trend?
Target OG Anunoby three-point overs when the line is 1.5 or below at Madison Square Garden. His home shooting rhythm creates the most value on conservative lines, with 8 overs in 11 games proving the trend's reliability.