OG Anunoby has been a points machine at Madison Square Garden, going over his points total in 63.6% of home games with a +21.5% ROI on overs. His 17.64 average significantly exceeds typical lines by 2.9 points. This represents a high-conviction over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
OG Anunoby's home scoring surge reflects multiple converging factors that create a sustainable edge. The 2.9-point differential between his actual average (17.64) and typical lines suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his elevated role in New York's system at home. The Knicks' offensive efficiency typically improves at Madison Square Garden, where crowd energy and familiar shooting backgrounds boost rhythm shooters like Anunoby. His catch-and-shoot profile particularly benefits from home court advantages, as the consistent sight lines and rim depth help calibrate his three-point accuracy. The 63.6% over rate across 11 games provides meaningful sample size, while the +21.5% ROI demonstrates this isn't just variance but a legitimate market inefficiency. Anunoby's integration into the Knicks' offense has been smoother at home, where he's more comfortable taking open looks and attacking closeouts aggressively. The biggest risk is regression to his career road averages, but his usage patterns and shot quality metrics suggest this home boost has structural foundations. Books may eventually catch up, but the current pricing creates clear value for disciplined bettors who recognize Anunoby's home-road split as more than statistical noise.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Anunoby's 2.9-point average differential and 63.6% over rate create legitimate value, particularly when lines remain around his season average rather than adjusting for home court impact. Target games where he's getting 25+ minutes and the Knicks are favored by less than 8 points for optimal conditions. The main risk is books eventually catching up to this trend and inflating lines.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 15.5 | 4.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 16.5 | 17.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-05 | OPP | 15.5 | 25.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 14.5 | 11.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 13.5 | 15.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 14.5 | 19.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 14.5 | 26.0 | +11.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 15.5 | 14.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 13.5 | 23.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 15.5 | 11.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 13.5 | 29.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is OG Anunoby's Points prop record home games?
OG Anunoby has gone over his points total in 7 of 11 home games (63.6%), generating a +21.5% ROI for over bettors while under bettors have lost -30.6%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on OG Anunoby Points home games?
Bet the over on Anunoby's points at home. His 17.64 average significantly exceeds typical lines, and the 63.6% over rate with strong ROI suggests books haven't adjusted to his home performance.
What's OG Anunoby's average Points home games?
Anunoby averages 17.64 points in home games, which is 2.9 points higher than his typical betting line of 14.77. This substantial differential creates consistent value for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target OG Anunoby points overs when the Knicks play at Madison Square Garden, especially in games where he's projected for 25+ minutes and New York is favored by less than 8 points.