Obi Toppin's three-pointers made props show marginal over value with a 52.9% hit rate across 17 games. The forward averages 1.12 makes against a 1.26 line, creating a slight under differential. With minimal edge and flat ROI trends, this represents a borderline pass situation.
Expert Analysis
Obi Toppin's three-point prop performance reveals a player caught between roles in Indiana's system. His 1.12 average against the 1.26 line suggests books are pricing in his potential rather than his actual production. The 52.9% over rate indicates modest value, but the -0.14 differential shows he's consistently falling short of expectations. Toppin's three-point volume depends heavily on Indiana's pace and his role alongside their core players. When the Pacers push tempo, Toppin benefits from increased possessions and spot-up opportunities. However, his inconsistent shooting mechanics and fluctuating minutes create volatility that makes this prop challenging to predict. The +1.1% ROI on overs suggests minimal long-term value, while the -10.2% under ROI indicates books have adjusted appropriately. His alternating streaks of 3 overs and 3 unders highlight the unpredictable nature of his three-point production. Without clear situational edges or usage patterns, Toppin's props require careful game-by-game evaluation rather than systematic betting approaches.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. Toppin's three-point props lack compelling directional value despite the slight over edge. The minimal 1.1% ROI on overs and his consistent underperformance versus the line create an unfavorable risk-reward profile. Without clear situational advantages or usage trends, these props are better avoided in favor of more predictable opportunities elsewhere on the board.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Obi Toppin's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Obi Toppin's three-pointers made prop has gone over in 9 of 17 games (52.9%) this season. He's currently on a 1-game over streak after hitting his longest under streak of 3 games earlier.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Obi Toppin 3-Pointers Made all games?
Pass on Toppin's three-pointers made props. The minimal 1.1% over ROI and his consistent underperformance versus the line create poor risk-reward. Better opportunities exist elsewhere with clearer edges.
What's Obi Toppin's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Toppin averages 1.12 three-pointers made per game against a typical line of 1.26. This -0.14 differential shows he consistently falls short of market expectations, suggesting books price in his potential over production.
How reliable is this trend?
No clear optimal betting windows exist for Toppin's three-point props. His alternating 3-game streaks and role-dependent production make game-by-game evaluation necessary rather than systematic approaches. Consider passing entirely.