Nick Richards has been a consistent under performer in blocks props during away games, hitting the over just 36.8% of the time across 19 games. His 1.21 average sits 0.2 blocks below the typical 1.39 line, generating strong +20.6% ROI for under bettors. This represents a clear statistical edge favoring the under.
Expert Analysis
Richards' road struggles with blocks stem from the fundamental challenges centers face playing away from home. Road environments typically feature hostile crowds that can disrupt timing and communication, both crucial for effective shot-blocking. The 1.21 average versus 1.39 line creates a meaningful 0.18 block gap that has persisted across nearly 20 games, suggesting this isn't random variance but a legitimate pattern. The -29.7% ROI on overs indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to Richards' road difficulties, creating ongoing value for under bettors. Charlotte's pace and defensive scheme on the road may also contribute, as teams often play more conservatively away from home, leading to fewer aggressive defensive plays. The sample size of 19 games provides solid statistical foundation, though the lack of recent form data prevents analysis of whether this trend is strengthening or weakening. The longest under streak of 3 games shows Richards can go cold for extended periods, while his maximum over streak of just 1 game demonstrates the rarity of explosive blocking performances on the road.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 36.8% over rate combined with the consistent 0.18 block deficit below market lines creates a mathematically sound edge. Target this bet when Richards faces teams that don't heavily attack the rim or when Charlotte is playing back-to-back road games where fatigue could further limit his defensive intensity. The primary risk is a single dominant performance skewing short-term results, but the underlying road environment factors should persist.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Nick Richards's Blocks prop record away games?
Nick Richards has gone 7-12 on blocks overs in away games, hitting just 36.8% of the time across 19 road contests. This poor over rate has generated -29.7% ROI for over bettors while under bets have profited +20.6%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Nick Richards Blocks away games?
Bet the under on Nick Richards blocks props in away games. His 36.8% over rate and consistent underperformance versus the line create a mathematical edge that has produced +20.6% ROI for under bettors.
What's Nick Richards's average Blocks away games?
Nick Richards averages 1.21 blocks per game in away contests, sitting 0.18 blocks below the typical 1.39 line. This consistent gap has persisted across 19 road games, creating reliable value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Richards blocks unders during road games against teams that don't heavily attack the rim or when Charlotte plays consecutive away games. Avoid when he faces high-pace offenses that could create more blocking opportunities.