Myles Turner's three-pointers made props on one day rest present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 45.5% of overs across 44 games. With Turner averaging 1.75 makes against a 1.55 line, the modest +0.2 differential masks poor over performance that generates positive under ROI of 4.1%.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Myles Turner's three-point shooting patterns on abbreviated rest. Despite averaging 1.75 makes per game against a typical 1.55 line, Turner's three-point props have consistently disappointed bettors chasing overs, connecting on just 20 of 44 attempts for a 45.5% hit rate. This creates a meaningful edge for under bettors, who have generated a positive 4.1% ROI while over bettors have suffered -13.2% losses. The key insight lies in understanding that Turner's role as Indiana's primary rim protector often limits his perimeter opportunities when playing on short rest. Centers typically see reduced mobility and shooting range when fatigued, and Turner appears no exception. His recent streak of two consecutive overs shouldn't distract from the broader pattern - this is a player whose three-point volume becomes inconsistent when the Pacers are managing his minutes and energy on back-to-back situations. The 1.75 average suggests Turner can still contribute from deep, but the betting markets have consistently overvalued his three-point ceiling in these rest scenarios, creating sustainable value for disciplined under bettors who recognize the physical limitations affecting his shot selection.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Turner's 45.5% over rate on one day rest creates meaningful value for under bettors, supported by positive 4.1% ROI despite his 1.75 average exceeding typical lines. The ideal spot targets games where Indiana faces pace-down opponents or Turner's minutes might be managed. Primary risk involves Turner getting hot early and attempting more threes than usual, but the 44-game sample suggests this scenario remains the exception rather than the rule.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 8.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Turner's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Myles Turner's three-pointers made props on one day rest show a 20-24-0 over/under record across 44 games, hitting overs just 45.5% of the time. This creates a clear pattern favoring under bettors with consistent market inefficiency.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Turner 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet under on Myles Turner's three-pointers made props when he's playing on one day rest. The 45.5% over rate and positive 4.1% under ROI across 44 games provide solid evidence of sustainable value betting against his three-point ceiling.
What's Myles Turner's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Myles Turner averages 1.75 three-pointers made on one day rest, typically exceeding the standard 1.55 line by 0.2 makes per game. However, this modest edge hasn't translated to profitable over betting, creating the under opportunity.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Myles Turner three-point unders when Indiana plays on one day rest against slower-paced teams or in potential blowout scenarios where his minutes might be managed. Avoid when the Pacers face up-tempo offenses requiring extended center minutes.