Myles Turner has been a three-point shooting revelation over his last 10 games, hitting the over at an 80% clip (8-2-0 record) while averaging 3.3 makes against a 1.7 line. This +1.6 differential represents a massive 94% edge that has generated exceptional +52.7% ROI. Strong lean over on Turner's three-point props.
Expert Analysis
Turner's three-point surge represents a fundamental shift in Indiana's offensive philosophy and his role within it. The 3.3 makes per game over this stretch nearly doubles his typical line of 1.7, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his expanded perimeter usage. This isn't random variance - Turner has always possessed the shooting mechanics, but the Pacers are now actively designing plays to get him open looks beyond the arc. His 5-game over streak earlier in this sample demonstrates the sustainability of this approach when the team commits to spacing the floor around his shooting ability. The consistency is remarkable - only two unders in 10 games indicates this is systematic rather than streaky. Turner's size advantage allows him to shoot over smaller defenders when switched onto the perimeter, while his improved confidence has him taking and making shots he previously passed up. The key concern is potential regression to his career norms, but the sample size and underlying usage changes suggest this represents a genuine evolution in his game rather than a hot streak.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Turner's 80% over rate and +1.6 differential above the line represents clear value, but the sample size demands some caution. The ideal conditions are games where Indiana faces uptempo opponents or needs to stretch the floor against bigger frontcourts. Main risk is oddsmakers catching up and inflating the line, or Turner reverting to his more conservative shot selection from earlier in his career.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 8.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Turner's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Turner has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 8 of his last 10 games (80% rate) with a 2-0 under record. He's averaging 3.3 makes against a typical 1.7 line, creating a +1.6 differential that has generated +52.7% ROI for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Turner 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Turner's three-point props. His 80% over rate and +1.6 differential above the line represents clear value, though the sample size requires some caution. The underlying usage changes suggest this is sustainable rather than random variance.
What's Myles Turner's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Turner is averaging 3.3 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to his typical 1.7 line. This +1.6 differential represents a 94% edge above expectations, nearly doubling his projected output and creating significant betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Turner's three-point props in uptempo games or when Indiana faces bigger frontcourts that force floor spacing. Avoid back-to-back situations or games where the Pacers might rest players, as reduced minutes could limit his perimeter opportunities.