Myles Turner's three-pointers made prop in away games shows a clear under bias with just 45.5% overs across 33 games. Despite averaging 1.79 makes versus a 1.59 line, the under delivers a profitable +4.1% ROI while overs lose -13.2%. The data strongly favors betting under on Turner's road three-point props.
Expert Analysis
The compelling case for fading Myles Turner's three-point overs on the road lies in the disconnect between his statistical average and actual betting outcomes. While Turner averages 1.79 made threes away from home against a typical 1.59 line—seemingly favoring overs—the reality is far different. His 15-18 over/under record translates to just 45.5% overs, creating a sustainable edge for under bettors who've generated a +4.1% ROI. This pattern suggests Turner's three-point shooting becomes less reliable in hostile environments, likely due to increased defensive attention and the psychological pressure of road games. The Pacers' modern offense relies heavily on Turner's floor-spacing ability, but away games often see tighter rotations and more conservative shot selection from big men. Turner's shooting mechanics, while consistent at home, may suffer from the rhythm disruption that comes with road travel and unfamiliar rims. The persistence of this trend across 33 games indicates this isn't random variance but a legitimate exploitable pattern. The longest under streak of five games shows Turner can go cold for extended periods on the road, while his longest over streak caps at just four games, suggesting less explosive upside potential away from Indianapolis.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 54.5% under rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge, though the +0.2 average differential prevents this from being a slam dunk. Target Turner three-point unders specifically in hostile road environments against teams with strong perimeter defense. The main risk is Turner's legitimate shooting ability—he can get hot any given night—but the data suggests road conditions consistently hamper his three-point production relative to inflated betting lines.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 8.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Turner's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Turner's three-pointers made prop record in away games is 15-18, hitting the over just 45.5% of the time. This translates to 15 overs and 18 unders across 33 road games, showing a clear under bias in his three-point production away from home.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Turner 3-Pointers Made away games?
Bet under on Turner's three-pointers made in away games. The 54.5% under rate generates a profitable +4.1% ROI while overs lose -13.2%. Road conditions consistently hamper his three-point shooting relative to betting lines despite his solid overall average.
What's Myles Turner's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Turner averages 1.79 three-pointers made in away games compared to a typical 1.59 line, creating a +0.2 differential. However, this average is misleading as he fails to hit the over 54.5% of the time, indicating the line doesn't properly account for road shooting struggles.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Turner three-point unders in hostile road environments against teams with strong perimeter defense. Avoid betting after his longest over streaks, and look for value when books set lines above 1.7 makes based on his overall averages rather than road-specific performance.