Myles Turner has demolished his points total in the last 10 games, going 9-1 over with a massive +6.1 differential above the 15.7 average line. This 90% over rate with +71.8% ROI represents one of the strongest trends in the NBA. The over is the clear play.
Expert Analysis
Turner's explosive scoring surge reflects his expanded role in Indiana's high-octane offense, where he's averaging 21.8 points against a modest 15.7 line that hasn't caught up to his production. The Pacers' fourth-ranked pace creates more possessions for Turner to capitalize on, while his improved three-point shooting has unlocked a new dimension to his scoring. The center has found consistent rhythm both inside and beyond the arc, benefiting from increased usage as Indiana pushes tempo. What makes this trend particularly sustainable is Turner's health and the Pacers' commitment to playing fast, creating natural scoring opportunities. The 9-1 record isn't just luck—it's systematic undervaluation by oddsmakers who haven't adjusted to his elevated role. The lone under came early in the sample, suggesting books have been slow to react. Turner's current three-game over streak aligns with his season-long trajectory, and the Pacers' playoff push ensures maximum effort. The biggest risk is regression to his career scoring averages, but his current usage rate and team context suggest this level is sustainable through season's end.
Betting Verdict
OVER with HIGH confidence. Turner's 90% over rate with a +6.1 differential represents exceptional value that oddsmakers haven't corrected. The Pacers' pace-heavy system and Turner's expanded role create ideal conditions for continued success. The primary risk is books finally adjusting lines upward, but until that happens, the over remains a premium play with outstanding risk-reward.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 17.5 | 24.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-04 | OPP | 15.5 | 26.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 14.5 | 15.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 15.5 | 11.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 15.5 | 17.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 15.5 | 23.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 14.5 | 28.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 16.5 | 26.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 16.5 | 31.0 | +14.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 15.5 | 17.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Turner's Points prop record last 10 games?
Turner has gone over his points total in 9 of his last 10 games (90% over rate), with only one under during this dominant stretch. He's averaging 21.8 points against a 15.7 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Turner Points last 10 games?
Bet the OVER on Turner's points props. His 9-1 record with +6.1 differential above the line represents exceptional value that oddsmakers haven't corrected, making the over a high-confidence play.
What's Myles Turner's average Points last 10 games?
Turner is averaging 21.8 points over his last 10 games, which is 6.1 points above his typical 15.7 line. This massive differential explains his 90% over rate during this stretch.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Turner's points overs when Indiana plays at home or against pace-heavy opponents. His scoring thrives in the Pacers' fast-paced system, especially when they can control tempo and create extra possessions.