Mikal Bridges has been a consistent under play in his points props, hitting just 4 of 10 overs (40%) over his last 10 games while averaging 13.8 points against a 17.4 line. The -3.6 point differential and +14.6% ROI on unders creates a clear edge favoring the under.
Expert Analysis
Mikal Bridges's scoring struggles reflect his adjustment period with the New York Knicks, where his role has shifted dramatically from his Phoenix days. The 13.8 point average against a 17.4 line reveals oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his reduced offensive burden in New York's system. Bridges is functioning more as a complementary piece alongside Jalen Brunson and Julius Randle, leading to fewer shot attempts and scoring opportunities. The consistency of this trend is striking - he's hit the under in 6 of 10 games with a current 2-game under streak, suggesting this isn't random variance but a systematic role change. The 40% over rate indicates books are still pricing him based on historical production rather than current usage patterns. His longest under streak of 3 games shows the sustainability of this trend, while the modest 2-game over streak suggests even his better scoring nights struggle to reach inflated lines. The -23.6% ROI on overs confirms this is a profitable fade spot, with the market slow to adjust to his diminished offensive role in a crowded Knicks lineup.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 13.8 point average against 17.4 lines creates consistent value, supported by a 60% under rate and positive ROI. Bridges's reduced role in New York's offense makes these inflated lines beatable. The main risk is a breakout game if the Knicks face pace-up spots or injury-depleted opponents, but the systemic nature of this trend favors continued under success.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 17.5 | 6.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 17.5 | 0.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 16.5 | 20.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-05 | OPP | 15.5 | 19.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 15.5 | 11.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 19.5 | 13.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 18.5 | 17.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 17.5 | 19.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 17.5 | 18.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 18.5 | 15.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Mikal Bridges's Points prop record last 10 games?
Mikal Bridges has gone 4-6 on his points overs in the last 10 games, hitting just 40% of overs. He's averaging 13.8 points against typical lines around 17.4, creating a -3.6 point differential that favors under bettors consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Mikal Bridges Points last 10 games?
Bet the under on Mikal Bridges points props. The 60% under rate and +14.6% ROI on unders shows clear value, while his reduced role in New York's offense makes inflated lines consistently beatable in most game situations.
What's Mikal Bridges's average Points last 10 games?
Mikal Bridges is averaging 13.8 points over his last 10 games, which is 3.6 points below his typical line of 17.4. This significant gap indicates oddsmakers haven't adjusted to his diminished offensive role with the Knicks.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mikal Bridges under props in games with normal pace and when the Knicks have their full complement of scorers healthy. Avoid in pace-up spots or when key Knicks offensive players are sidelined, as his usage could spike unexpectedly.