Max Strus's three-point prop presents a clear under opportunity with just 44.9% overs hitting across 49 games. His 2.39 average barely exceeds the 2.23 line, while under bets show positive 5.2% ROI versus devastating -14.3% losses on overs.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a stark picture for Max Strus's three-point consistency in Cleveland's system. With only 22 overs in 49 games, Strus is failing to reach his modest 2.23 line more than half the time, suggesting books haven't properly adjusted to his reduced role. His 2.39 average creates just a 0.16 cushion above the line—razor-thin margin that explains the frequent unders. The -14.3% ROI on overs represents systematic value destruction, while under bettors enjoy steady 5.2% returns. Cleveland's ball movement and multiple shooting options likely limit Strus's shot volume compared to his Miami days, where he operated as a primary perimeter threat. The recent streak of one under, following a longest under streak of five games, indicates his inconsistency remains problematic. Without pace or usage data, we can infer that Strus functions more as a complementary piece rather than a featured shooter, making his props particularly vulnerable to game flow and rotation decisions. The persistent under trend across nearly 50 games suggests this isn't variance—it's systematic underperformance relative to market expectations.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 55.1% under rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge, though the small sample size and lack of situational data prevent high conviction. Target games where Cleveland faces strong perimeter defense or when Strus enters shooting slumps. Main risk is a hot streak that could temporarily inflate his makes above the consistently beatable line.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Strus's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Max Strus has gone over his three-pointers made prop in just 22 of 49 games (44.9% rate) while going under 27 times. His record shows consistent struggles reaching the posted lines across the season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Max Strus's three-pointers made props. The 55.1% under rate and positive 5.2% ROI on unders creates a clear edge, while overs lose money at -14.3% ROI consistently.
What's Max Strus's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Max Strus averages 2.39 three-pointers made per game against a typical line of 2.23. The slim 0.16 differential explains why he fails to reach his prop more than half the time.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Max Strus under props during shooting slumps or against strong perimeter defenses. His five-game under streak shows he can go cold for extended periods, creating optimal betting windows.