Max Strus has been a blocks under goldmine at home, hitting just 18.8% overs with a brutal 3-13-0 record against the 0.5 line. Averaging 0.31 blocks per home game creates a consistent -0.2 differential that has generated +55.1% ROI on unders.
Expert Analysis
Max Strus's home blocks trend represents one of the most reliable unders in the prop market, driven by his natural offensive role and Cleveland's defensive scheme. As a 6'5" wing primarily tasked with spacing and shooting, Strus lacks the rim protection responsibilities that generate consistent block opportunities. His 0.31 home average sits significantly below the standard 0.5 line, creating mathematical value that persists due to his positional limitations. The Cavaliers deploy Strus as a perimeter defender who rarely ventures into help-side situations where blocks occur naturally. His longest under streak of 8 games demonstrates the sustainability of this trend, while his maximum over streak of just 1 game reveals how rarely he exceeds expectations. The -64.2% ROI on overs tells the complete story - this line consistently overestimates Strus's shot-blocking ability in familiar home surroundings. Unlike rebounding or scoring props that can fluctuate with game flow, blocks require specific defensive positioning that simply isn't part of Strus's regular responsibilities. The 18.8% over rate across 16 home games provides substantial sample size confidence, particularly when combined with the clear role-based reasoning for why this trend should continue.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Max Strus's 18.8% over rate at home creates exceptional betting value on a prop that fundamentally overestimates his shot-blocking role. The 0.31 average versus 0.5 line provides consistent mathematical edge, while his perimeter-focused defensive responsibilities make dramatic improvement unlikely. Target this under in standard game scripts where Cleveland doesn't need emergency rim protection.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Strus's Blocks prop record home games?
Max Strus has gone 3-13-0 over/under on blocks props in home games, hitting just 18.8% overs. This translates to a +55.1% ROI betting unders while overs have lost -64.2% of invested capital.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus Blocks home games?
Bet under on Max Strus blocks at home games. His 0.31 average creates consistent value against 0.5 lines, supported by an 18.8% over rate and role-based limitations in shot-blocking opportunities.
What's Max Strus's average Blocks home games?
Max Strus averages 0.31 blocks per home game, sitting 0.2 blocks below the typical 0.5 line. This differential has created profitable under betting opportunities throughout the season with remarkable consistency.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Max Strus blocks unders during standard home games when Cleveland runs normal rotations. Avoid during blowouts where garbage time might create unusual defensive positioning or emergency rim protection needs.