Max Strus delivers exceptional assists value in away games, hitting the over in 20 of 29 contests (69.0%) while averaging 4.0 assists against a 3.09 line. This +0.9 differential represents a clear market inefficiency that has generated +31.7% ROI on overs.
Expert Analysis
The market consistently undervalues Max Strus's playmaking ability on the road, creating a persistent edge that spans nearly 30 games. Strus's 4.0 assists average in away games significantly exceeds his typical line of 3.09, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his expanded role in Cleveland's offense. This isn't a small sample fluke—the 69.0% over rate across 29 games represents substantial data that indicates a genuine market inefficiency. The +31.7% ROI on overs demonstrates this trend's profitability, while the crushing -40.8% ROI on unders shows how consistently wrong the under bet has been. Away games often force teams into different offensive sets, and Strus appears to thrive in these environments where his versatility becomes more valuable. The fact that he's averaging nearly a full assist above his line suggests either the market is slow to adjust or there are specific road factors that enhance his playmaking opportunities. With Cleveland's offensive system potentially creating more assist opportunities for wings in away settings, this trend appears sustainable rather than due for regression.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 69.0% hit rate and +0.9 average differential represent clear value, though the recent 1-game under streak and lack of recent form data prevent a stronger recommendation. Target overs when the line sits at 3.5 or lower, as Strus's 4.0 road average provides solid cushion. Primary risk is potential lineup changes or reduced minutes affecting his playmaking opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 8.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 7.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Strus's Assists prop record away games?
Max Strus has gone over his assists prop in 20 of 29 away games (69.0% hit rate) with zero pushes. This represents one of the more reliable player prop trends in the market.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Strus Assists away games?
Lean over on Max Strus assists props in away games. The 69.0% over rate and +0.9 average differential above his line create consistent value, especially when the line is 3.5 or lower.
What's Max Strus's average Assists away games?
Max Strus averages 4.0 assists in away games compared to his typical line of 3.09. This +0.9 differential represents significant value that the market hasn't properly adjusted for across 29 games.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Max Strus assists overs in away games when the line is set at 3.5 or below. His 4.0 road average provides solid cushion, and avoid betting after extended rest or lineup uncertainty.