Kyrie Irving's blocks prop presents a clear under opportunity with a 42.1% over rate across 38 games. His 0.53 average barely exceeds the 0.5 line, but the -19.6% over ROI versus +10.5% under ROI reveals consistent market mispricing favoring the under.
Expert Analysis
Irving's blocks trend exposes a fundamental disconnect between market perception and reality. Guards averaging 0.53 blocks while hitting overs just 42.1% of the time indicates the 0.5 line consistently overvalues his defensive impact. The brutal -19.6% over ROI demonstrates how often bettors chase the appeal of a guard recording blocks, while the profitable +10.5% under ROI rewards those who understand Irving's true defensive role. As a primary ball-handler focused on offensive creation, Irving rarely gambles for steals that could lead to blocks, instead maintaining positional discipline. His 6-game under streak represents his longest, suggesting the market hasn't fully adjusted to his defensive limitations. The 16-22 under record isn't just variance—it reflects Irving's consistent approach to defense where blocks are incidental rather than intentional. With no split data showing favorable over conditions, this becomes a systematic edge rather than situational betting. The minimal 0.03 average differential above the line creates false confidence in overs while the substantial ROI gap reveals the true value lies consistently with unders.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Irving's 42.1% over rate and devastating -19.6% over ROI create a systematic edge favoring unders. The 0.53 average barely clearing 0.5 creates false over confidence while his guard-focused defensive role limits block opportunities. Risk comes from small sample variance and potential defensive scheme changes, but the ROI differential strongly supports under betting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyrie Irving's Blocks prop record all games?
Irving's blocks prop record shows 16 overs and 22 unders across 38 games, a 42.1% over rate. This translates to a -19.6% ROI on over bets versus a profitable +10.5% ROI on under wagers, indicating consistent market mispricing.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyrie Irving Blocks all games?
Bet under on Irving's blocks props. The 42.1% over rate and +10.5% under ROI versus -19.6% over ROI create a clear systematic edge. His guard-focused defensive role limits block opportunities compared to market expectations.
What's Kyrie Irving's average Blocks all games?
Irving averages 0.53 blocks per game against the typical 0.5 line, creating just a +0.03 differential. This minimal edge above the line masks the true value, as he fails to hit overs 57.9% of the time despite the favorable average.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Irving blocks unders consistently across all game situations. With no favorable over conditions identified in the data and a systematic 22-16 under advantage, the edge exists regardless of opponent or game context.