Kristaps Porziņģis shows minimal edge on three-pointers made props with one day rest, posting a 48.3% over rate (14-15-0) across 29 games. His 1.83 average sits just 0.05 below the typical 1.88 line, creating a slight mathematical lean toward unders.
Expert Analysis
The Porziņģis three-point data on one day rest reveals a player operating near his expected output with minimal exploitable variance. His 1.83 average against a 1.88 line represents just a 2.7% differential, well within normal variance for a volume shooter. The 48.3% over rate suggests books have found equilibrium pricing on his rest-day shooting. What's notable is the consistency rather than volatility - Porziņģis doesn't dramatically spike or crater with standard rest, indicating his three-point attempt rate and efficiency remain stable regardless of the previous day's workload. The -7.8% ROI on overs versus -1.2% on unders hints at slight market inefficiency favoring the under, though the sample size demands caution. His current three-game under streak aligns with natural regression after extended hot shooting. The lack of dramatic rest-related performance swings suggests Porziņģis maintains his shooting rhythm consistently, making this more about game-specific matchups and usage than recovery patterns. Boston's offensive system keeps his three-point attempts relatively predictable, reducing the impact of rest on his shot selection.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with LOW confidence. The slight mathematical edge (-0.05 average vs line) combined with superior under ROI (-1.2% vs -7.8%) creates a marginal lean toward unders. However, the minimal differential and near-even split rate make this a low-conviction play. Best reserved for plus-money under opportunities or when stacked with other factors like tough perimeter defenses or potential blowout scenarios.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kristaps Porziņģis's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Kristaps Porziņģis has gone 14-15-0 over/under on three-pointers made props with one day rest, hitting overs just 48.3% of the time. His under record of 15-14 shows slight favorability toward lower totals across 29 games.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kristaps Porziņģis 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Lean toward betting under on Porziņģis three-pointers made with one day rest. His 1.83 average sits below the typical 1.88 line, and unders show better ROI at -1.2% versus -7.8% for overs.
What's Kristaps Porziņģis's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Porziņģis averages 1.83 three-pointers made with one day rest compared to the standard 1.88 line. This 0.05 differential represents a 2.7% gap below expectations, creating slight mathematical value on unders.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Porziņģis three-point unders when facing elite perimeter defenses or in potential blowout scenarios where his minutes might be limited. The edge is minimal, so wait for plus-money under opportunities or stack with other factors.