Kris Murray's three-pointers made prop presents a clear under opportunity with just 40.0% overs hitting across 10 games. Murray averages 1.5 makes against a 1.2 line, but the under delivers +14.6% ROI while overs lose -23.6%. The data strongly favors under betting.
Expert Analysis
Kris Murray's three-point prop reveals a fascinating disconnect between his actual production and market expectations. While Murray averages 1.5 makes per game against a typical 1.2 line—suggesting overs should hit regularly—the reality shows only 4 overs in 10 games. This 40% over rate combined with a devastating -23.6% ROI on overs indicates the market consistently overvalues Murray's deep shooting consistency. The under's +14.6% ROI demonstrates clear value, particularly given Murray's role as a developing player whose minutes and shot attempts can fluctuate significantly. Portland's pace and game script often dictate Murray's involvement, and when the Trail Blazers fall behind or face defensive pressure, his three-point opportunities diminish. The longest under streak of 3 games suggests Murray can go cold for extended periods, while his longest over streak maxes at just 2 games. This pattern indicates boom-or-bust shooting rather than consistent production. Murray's current 1-game under streak aligns with historical tendencies, and without clear catalysts for improved consistency, the under trend appears sustainable through season's end.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The -23.6% ROI on overs combined with just 40% hitting rate creates clear value on unders despite Murray's 1.5 average exceeding the 1.2 line. Target games where Portland faces strong perimeter defense or Murray's role appears diminished. Primary risk is small sample size potentially masking Murray's true shooting talent, but the consistency of under results suggests this trend reflects his actual game-to-game variance rather than random fluctuation.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Murray's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Kris Murray's three-pointers made prop record shows 4-6-0 over/under across 10 games, hitting overs just 40.0% of the time. This poor over rate combines with a -23.6% ROI, making overs a losing proposition while unders return +14.6%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Murray 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Kris Murray's three-pointers made props. The 40% over rate and -23.6% ROI on overs create clear value on unders, which show +14.6% returns. Murray's inconsistent shooting makes unders the smart play despite his 1.5 average.
What's Kris Murray's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Kris Murray averages 1.5 three-pointers made per game against a typical 1.2 line, creating a +0.3 differential that suggests overs should hit. However, this average masks significant game-to-game variance that favors under betting despite the positive differential.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kris Murray three-pointers made unders when Portland faces strong perimeter defenses or when Murray's role appears reduced due to game script. His inconsistent shooting patterns and 40% over rate make unders profitable across most situations.