Kris Dunn's three-pointers made prop shows clear value betting under at home, hitting just 40% overs with a 4-6-0 record. The under delivers +14.6% ROI while overs lose -23.6%, creating a sustainable edge. Lean under on Dunn's home three-point props.
Expert Analysis
Kris Dunn's home three-point struggles reflect his evolving role and natural shooting limitations in Utah's system. The 4-6-0 over/under record isn't just bad luck—it represents a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and Dunn's actual production patterns. His 0.5 average perfectly matches the standard line, but the distribution heavily favors zero-make games over multi-three performances. Dunn's value comes from defense and playmaking, not perimeter shooting, and home crowds don't magically transform career 32.1% three-point shooters into volume threats. The -23.6% ROI on overs suggests the market consistently overvalues his three-point ceiling, likely influenced by occasional hot shooting nights that skew perception. Utah's pace and Dunn's role as a secondary ball-handler limit his three-point attempts, especially at home where they often build leads and lean on half-court sets rather than transition opportunities. The current two-game under streak aligns with regression toward his natural shooting baseline. Most concerning for over bettors is that Dunn's three-point production shows no clear home/road split advantage—his makes come sporadically regardless of venue, making the under a more reliable bet when the line sits at his exact average.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Dunn's home three-point props offer consistent value with the under hitting 60% at +14.6% ROI. His role prioritizes defense over shooting, and the 0.5 line perfectly captures his ceiling limitations. Target this when the line stays at 0.5, avoiding inflated numbers after rare hot shooting nights.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Kris Dunn props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?
Kris Dunn's three-pointers made prop at home shows a 4-6-0 over/under record across 10 games, hitting overs just 40% of the time. The under has been significantly more profitable with +14.6% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn 3-Pointers Made home games?
Bet under on Kris Dunn's three-pointers made at home. The under hits 60% with positive ROI while overs lose money at -23.6%. His 0.5 average matches the line with no upside edge for overs.
What's Kris Dunn's average 3-Pointers Made home games?
Kris Dunn averages exactly 0.5 three-pointers made in home games, perfectly matching the standard betting line of 0.5. This creates no differential advantage, but the distribution heavily favors zero-make performances over multiple makes.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Dunn's three-point unders when the line stays at 0.5 in home games, especially during his current two-game under streak. Avoid betting after rare hot shooting nights when books might inflate the line.