Kris Dunn's three-pointers made prop shows a perfectly balanced 10-10 record over 20 games, but his 0.75 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.5 line. The current three-game under streak masks underlying value in the over, despite negative ROI on both sides.
Expert Analysis
Kris Dunn's three-point prop presents a fascinating case study in market inefficiency. While the 50% over rate suggests perfect balance, the 0.75 average against a 0.5 line reveals consistent outperformance that the market hasn't fully adjusted to. The negative ROI on both sides indicates tight lines, but the +0.2 differential suggests the over holds inherent value. Dunn's role as Utah's primary backup guard provides consistent minutes and shot opportunities, particularly when the Jazz need perimeter shooting. The three-game under streak appears more like natural variance than a fundamental shift, especially given his season-long average well above the standard line. The lack of split data prevents deeper situational analysis, but Dunn's veteran status and defined role suggest this production level should persist. The key concern is whether books will adjust the line upward, eliminating the current edge. Without significant injury concerns or role changes, Dunn's established shooting volume and accuracy create a sustainable foundation for over betting, though bettors must monitor line movement closely.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.75 average against 0.5 lines creates clear mathematical value despite the recent under streak. Dunn's consistent role and shooting opportunities suggest the current three-game slide is variance rather than regression. The main risk is line adjustment as books recognize the pattern, making timing crucial for maximizing value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Kris Dunn's three-pointers made prop shows a 10-10 record across 20 games from January to February 2024, hitting exactly 50% of overs with a -4.5% ROI on both sides, indicating efficient market pricing.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Dunn's three-pointers made props. His 0.75 average significantly exceeds the standard 0.5 line, creating mathematical value despite the recent three-game under streak and balanced overall record.
What's Kris Dunn's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Kris Dunn averages 0.75 three-pointers made per game over his 20-game sample, which is 0.25 makes above the typical 0.5 line, representing a meaningful 50% edge over market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Dunn's three-point props when lines remain at 0.5, especially after under streaks when public perception may be skewed. Avoid betting when books adjust lines upward, eliminating the mathematical advantage.