Kris Dunn's steals props on one day rest present a compelling over opportunity, hitting at a 69.2% clip with a 9-4-0 record. The Jazz guard averages 1.85 steals versus a typical 0.81 line, creating a massive +1.0 differential that has generated +32.2% ROI on overs.
Expert Analysis
The statistical edge on Kris Dunn steals props after one day rest stems from his enhanced defensive intensity when properly rested. Dunn's 1.85 average represents a 128% increase over the standard 0.81 line, suggesting sportsbooks consistently undervalue his steal production in this specific rest scenario. The 13-game sample from January through February 2024 provides solid statistical foundation, with the 69.2% over rate indicating genuine predictive value rather than random variance. Dunn's defensive prowess becomes amplified with adequate recovery time, allowing him to maintain the lateral quickness and anticipation necessary for generating steals. The +32.2% ROI on overs demonstrates the market's persistent mispricing of this situation. While the sample size requires monitoring for regression, the magnitude of the differential suggests underlying factors beyond luck. The fact that Dunn exceeded his line in nine of thirteen games with one day rest indicates a sustainable edge rooted in his playing style and conditioning. Jazz's pace and defensive scheme likely contribute to increased steal opportunities when Dunn is physically prepared to capitalize.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence on Kris Dunn steals props following one day rest. The 69.2% hit rate and +1.0 average differential create legitimate value despite the modest sample size. Target this spot when the line sits at 1.0 or below, as Dunn's 1.85 average provides excellent coverage. Primary risk involves potential regression as the sample expands, but the underlying defensive metrics support continued over performance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 4.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 4.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Steals Prop Lines
Compare Kris Dunn props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's Steals prop record 1 day rest?
Kris Dunn's steals props on one day rest show a 9-4-0 over/under record (69.2% overs) across 13 games from January to February 2024. This represents a strong trend with significant sample backing.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn Steals 1 day rest?
Bet the over on Kris Dunn steals props after one day rest. His 1.85 average versus 0.81 typical line creates substantial value, with overs hitting 69.2% of the time and generating +32.2% ROI.
What's Kris Dunn's average Steals 1 day rest?
Dunn averages 1.85 steals on one day rest compared to the standard 0.81 line, creating a massive +1.0 differential. This 128% increase over the betting line represents exceptional value for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kris Dunn steals overs specifically on one day rest when the line is 1.0 or below. His enhanced defensive intensity and lateral quickness with proper recovery consistently exceeds market expectations in this scenario.