Kris Dunn's blocks prop presents a clear under opportunity with just 40.0% overs across 20 games and a concerning -23.6% ROI on over bets. Despite averaging 0.65 blocks against a 0.5 line, the under has delivered consistent value with +14.6% returns.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Kris Dunn's blocks production being systematically overvalued by the market. While Dunn averages 0.65 blocks per game against the standard 0.5 line, this modest edge hasn't translated to profitable over betting due to the binary nature of blocks props. The 40.0% over rate reveals that Dunn frequently fails to record even a single block, making the under a mathematically sound play. His current four-game under streak aligns with historical patterns showing equal five-game streaks in both directions, suggesting no momentum bias. The -23.6% ROI on overs indicates the market consistently overestimates his shot-blocking frequency, likely influenced by his defensive reputation rather than actual production. Guard blocks are inherently volatile and matchup-dependent, but Dunn's consistent underperformance against this low threshold suggests structural issues with his positioning or the Jazz's defensive scheme limiting his block opportunities. The +14.6% under ROI demonstrates sustainable edge, particularly given blocks props' tendency toward variance that favors the under on low lines.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The +14.6% under ROI and 60.0% under rate provide clear mathematical edge despite Dunn's slight average advantage over the line. Target games where Utah faces teams with strong interior presence that limits Dunn's help defense opportunities. Primary risk is variance inherent in blocks props, where a single fortunate deflection can swing the outcome regardless of underlying trends.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's Blocks prop record all games?
Kris Dunn's blocks prop record stands at 8-12-0 over/under across 20 games, hitting the over just 40.0% of the time. This translates to a -23.6% ROI on over bets versus +14.6% returns betting the under consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn Blocks all games?
Bet the under on Kris Dunn's blocks props. The 60.0% under rate and +14.6% ROI provide clear mathematical edge. Despite averaging 0.65 blocks, the binary nature of the prop and market overvaluation create consistent under value.
What's Kris Dunn's average Blocks all games?
Kris Dunn averages 0.65 blocks per game against the typical 0.5 line, showing a +0.1 differential. However, this modest edge hasn't translated to profitable over betting due to the frequency of zero-block performances in his 20-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Dunn's blocks unders when Utah faces teams with strong interior scorers who keep him anchored to perimeter defense. Avoid games against pace-up opponents or teams prone to turnovers that could increase his steal-to-block conversion opportunities.