Kris Dunn's assists props on one day of rest present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 35.7% overs across 14 games with a brutal -31.8% ROI on the over side. The Jazz guard averages 4.5 assists against a typical 4.64 line, creating consistent value on the under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Kris Dunn's playmaking limitations when operating on standard rest. His 5-9 over/under record on one day of rest reflects deeper structural issues with Utah's offensive system and Dunn's role within it. The -0.14 differential between his actual average (4.5) and typical lines (4.64) might seem marginal, but it's created remarkable betting value with a +22.7% ROI on unders. This isn't random variance—it's systematic underperformance that books haven't fully adjusted for. Dunn's current three-game under streak aligns with the broader pattern, suggesting oddsmakers consistently overestimate his assist upside in standard rest situations. The Jazz's pace and offensive philosophy limit secondary playmakers like Dunn, who often finds himself in more of a defensive specialist role rather than the primary facilitator books price him as. Without significant changes to Utah's rotation or offensive approach, this trend appears sustainable. The consistency of the underperformance across the 14-game sample, spanning multiple months, indicates this isn't matchup-dependent but rather reflects Dunn's actual ceiling in this specific rest scenario.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 35.7% over rate and +22.7% under ROI create a legitimate edge, though the sample size demands some caution. Target this when Dunn's line sits at 4.5 or higher, particularly in games where Utah's pace projects slower. The main risk is a potential role expansion if injuries hit the Jazz backcourt, but the current trend reflects Dunn's realistic assist ceiling in standard rotation minutes.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 7.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-12 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 4.5 | 13.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's Assists prop record 1 day rest?
Kris Dunn's assists props on one day of rest show a 5-9-0 over/under record (35.7% overs) across 14 games from January through March 2024, with unders providing a strong +22.7% return on investment.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn Assists 1 day rest?
Bet the under on Kris Dunn's assists when he has one day of rest. The 64.3% under rate and +22.7% ROI create clear value, especially when his line is set at 4.5 or higher assists.
What's Kris Dunn's average Assists 1 day rest?
Kris Dunn averages 4.5 assists on one day of rest, running 0.14 assists below the typical 4.64 line. This small but consistent gap has created profitable under betting opportunities throughout the season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kris Dunn under assists props when Utah plays on standard rest and his line is 4.5+. Avoid when the Jazz face pace-up spots or if injuries create expanded playmaking opportunities for Dunn.