Kris Dunn's assists prop in away games presents a clear under opportunity with a 54.5% hit rate over 11 games. Despite averaging 4.73 assists versus a 4.5 line, the under has generated positive 4.1% ROI while overs have lost 13.2%. Current three-game under streak reinforces the lean under trend.
Expert Analysis
The underlying mathematics reveal why Kris Dunn's away assists prop favors the under despite his 4.73 average sitting above the 4.5 line. That modest 0.2 differential creates a false sense of over value, but the distribution tells the real story. Dunn's assist production on the road appears more volatile than his average suggests, with enough low-output games to make the under profitable long-term. The negative 13.2% ROI on overs indicates the market may be overvaluing his road playmaking based on his overall season numbers rather than his specific away performance. Utah's pace and offensive system likely contribute to this discrepancy, as road environments often lead to more conservative offensive approaches and reduced assist opportunities for role players like Dunn. The current three-game under streak isn't just noise—it reflects the underlying tendency for his road assist numbers to cluster below the betting line more often than above it. Without significant role changes or matchup advantages, this pattern should persist as road games continue to limit his facilitation opportunities compared to the comfort of home court.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 54.5% under hit rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge despite Dunn's average sitting above the line. Target this prop in road games where Utah faces defensively sound teams that limit transition opportunities. Primary risk is a blowout scenario where garbage time inflates his assist totals, but the consistent underperformance relative to expectations makes this a viable long-term play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 7.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 4.5 | 13.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Dunn's Assists prop record away games?
Kris Dunn has gone under his assists prop in 6 of 11 away games (54.5% under rate) with a 5-6-0 over/under record. The under has generated a positive 4.1% ROI while overs have lost 13.2% of investment.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Dunn Assists away games?
Bet under on Kris Dunn's assists in away games. The 54.5% under hit rate and positive ROI create a sustainable edge despite his 4.73 average sitting above the typical 4.5 line.
What's Kris Dunn's average Assists away games?
Kris Dunn averages 4.73 assists in away games, which sits 0.2 above the standard 4.5 line. However, this modest differential masks the volatility that makes the under more profitable long-term.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kris Dunn assists unders in road games against defensively disciplined teams that limit transition opportunities. Avoid in potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate his assist totals significantly.