Klay Thompson shows a clear edge on one day's rest, hitting overs at a 58.1% clip (18-13-0) across 31 games. His 3.68 average beats the typical 3.53 line by 0.15 makes, generating +10.8% ROI on overs. This represents a lean over opportunity with medium conviction.
Expert Analysis
The 58.1% over rate on one day's rest reflects Thompson's optimal recovery sweet spot. Unlike players who need extended rest, Klay's shooting rhythm benefits from the brief reset that one day provides without losing his timing completely. His 3.68 average on this rest pattern represents meaningful separation from his season baseline, suggesting this isn't random variance but a legitimate performance edge. The +10.8% ROI on overs demonstrates consistent market inefficiency, as books haven't fully adjusted lines to account for this rest-based boost. Thompson's three-point shooting is inherently volatile, but the 31-game sample provides sufficient confidence in the pattern's legitimacy. The current three-game over streak aligns with the broader trend rather than suggesting imminent regression. However, the -19.9% under ROI shows how quickly this edge can turn costly when it fails. The key concern is that this data spans multiple seasons where Thompson's role and usage may have evolved, potentially affecting the trend's current relevance. Still, his fundamental shooting mechanics and the physiological benefits of optimal rest suggest this pattern should persist.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Thompson's 58.1% over rate on one day's rest represents a legitimate edge backed by solid sample size and logical reasoning. The +10.8% ROI indicates consistent market inefficiency worth exploiting. Target games where he's had exactly 24-48 hours between contests, particularly in favorable matchups against pace-up opponents. Main risk is his inherent volatility and potential role changes affecting shot volume.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Klay Thompson props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Klay Thompson's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Thompson's three-pointers made prop on one day rest shows an 18-13-0 over/under record across 31 games, hitting overs at a 58.1% rate. This generates a +10.8% ROI for over bettors while unders lose -19.9%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Klay Thompson 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Lean over on Thompson's three-pointers made when he has one day rest. The 58.1% over rate and +10.8% ROI represent a legitimate edge, though his inherent volatility requires medium confidence rather than aggressive betting.
What's Klay Thompson's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Thompson averages 3.68 three-pointers made on one day rest compared to the typical 3.53 line, creating a +0.15 differential. This meaningful separation from his baseline suggests the rest pattern genuinely boosts his performance.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Thompson's three-point props when he has exactly one day of rest between games. This optimal recovery window enhances his shooting without disrupting rhythm, particularly effective against faster-paced opponents who create more shot opportunities.