Klay Thompson's three-pointers made prop in away games presents a marginal edge with a 52.0% over rate (13-12-0) and 3.72 average versus the typical 3.5 line. The +0.2 differential suggests slight value, though negative ROI on both sides indicates market efficiency. Lean over with caution.
Expert Analysis
Thompson's away three-point performance reveals a player who slightly exceeds expectations on the road, averaging 3.72 makes against the standard 3.5 line. This +0.2 differential, while modest, represents meaningful value in a prop market where margins are razor-thin. The 52.0% over rate across 25 games suggests Thompson maintains his elite shooting touch away from Chase Center, likely benefiting from increased shot attempts as Golden State leans more heavily on his scoring in hostile environments. However, the negative ROI on both sides (-0.7% over, -8.4% under) signals sharp market pricing that has adjusted to Thompson's road tendencies. The current two-game over streak aligns with his historical pattern of clustering hot performances, though his longest under streak of four games demonstrates the volatility inherent in three-point variance. Thompson's away splits become particularly relevant when considering pace matchups and defensive schemes that may force Golden State into more perimeter-oriented offensive attacks. The lack of dramatic splits data suggests consistent performance regardless of specific road conditions, making this more about pure shooting variance than situational factors.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 3.72 average against a 3.5 line provides genuine mathematical edge, and Thompson's road shooting remains elite despite challenging environments. Target games where Golden State faces up-tempo opponents or strong interior defenses that force perimeter reliance. Main risk is the market's apparent awareness of this trend, evidenced by negative ROI despite favorable averages.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 7.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Klay Thompson's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Thompson's three-pointers made prop record in away games is 13-12-0 over/under (52.0% overs) across 25 games from October 2023 to April 2024, showing slight but consistent line-beating ability on the road.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Klay Thompson 3-Pointers Made away games?
Lean over on Thompson's three-pointers made in away games. His 3.72 average beats the typical 3.5 line with 52% frequency, providing mathematical edge despite the market's sharp pricing and negative ROI.
What's Klay Thompson's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Thompson averages 3.72 three-pointers made in away games, which is 0.2 above the standard 3.5 line. This differential represents meaningful value in a market where small edges matter significantly.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Thompson's three-point overs when Golden State faces up-tempo teams or strong interior defenses on the road. These conditions force more perimeter attempts and align with his 3.72 away average.