Khris Middleton's three-pointers made prop in away games shows marginal over value with an 8-7-0 record (53.3% overs) and 1.73 average against a 1.7 line. The minimal edge combined with poor under ROI (-10.9%) suggests a lean over approach.
Expert Analysis
Middleton's away three-point performance reveals a player consistently meeting expectations with slight upside potential. His 1.73 average in road games sits just above the typical 1.7 line, creating a small but meaningful edge for over bettors. The 53.3% over rate across 15 games suggests books may be slightly undervaluing his road shooting consistency. What makes this trend particularly interesting is the stark ROI disparity—while overs show modest profitability at +1.8%, unders have been devastating at -10.9%, indicating the market consistently underestimates Middleton's floor on the road. The veteran forward's shooting mechanics and shot selection remain consistent regardless of venue, and his role as a secondary scorer means he's less likely to see dramatic usage fluctuations that could crater his attempts. However, the sample size of 15 games demands caution, and Middleton's injury history creates volatility risk. The current one-game over streak follows his historical pattern of moderate streakiness, with his longest over streak reaching four games. Road environments typically don't significantly impact elite shooters like Middleton, whose career three-point percentage has remained remarkably stable across different contexts.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The combination of Middleton averaging above the standard line (1.73 vs 1.7) and the brutal under ROI (-10.9%) suggests books are consistently setting this number too low. Target games where he's had adequate rest and the Wizards are competitive, as blowouts could limit his fourth-quarter opportunities. Main risk is his injury-prone nature potentially affecting shot mechanics or limiting minutes unexpectedly.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Khris Middleton's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Middleton has gone over his three-pointers made prop 8 times in 15 away games (53.3% rate) with a 7-8 under record. His road average of 1.73 makes sits marginally above the typical 1.7 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Khris Middleton 3-Pointers Made away games?
Lean over on Middleton's three-pointers made in away games. His 1.73 road average exceeds the standard 1.7 line, while under bettors have suffered -10.9% ROI compared to +1.8% for overs.
What's Khris Middleton's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Middleton averages 1.73 three-pointers made in away games, which sits 0.03 above the typical 1.7 line. This small but consistent edge has translated to modest profitability for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Middleton three-pointer overs in competitive road games where he's had adequate rest. Avoid back-to-backs or potential blowouts that could limit his fourth-quarter shooting opportunities and overall minutes.