Khris Middleton's three-pointers made prop shows a reliable 56.2% over rate (9-7-0) with positive 7.4% ROI on overs across 16 games. His 1.81 average exceeds the typical 1.69 line by 0.12 makes per game, creating consistent value on the over.
Expert Analysis
Middleton's three-point production reflects his evolved role as Washington's primary perimeter weapon, a stark contrast to his complementary Milwaukee days. The 1.81 average against 1.69 lines suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his increased offensive responsibility with the Wizards. This 56.2% over rate isn't just noise—it's driven by legitimate usage increases and expanded shot selection freedom. The +7.4% ROI on overs validates this edge mathematically. What's particularly encouraging is the consistency; while we lack granular splits, the moderate 2-game current over streak suggests sustainable patterns rather than hot shooting variance. The longest over streak of 4 games indicates Middleton can maintain elevated three-point volume when his shot is falling. However, the -16.5% under ROI warns against contrarian plays. The key risk lies in potential regression as books adjust lines upward, though his new role architecture suggests this production level represents a new baseline rather than temporary elevation. Middleton's three-point props appear to offer legitimate structural value that transcends simple variance.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 56.2% hit rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge rooted in Middleton's expanded role. Target overs when lines remain at 1.5 or below, as his 1.81 average provides meaningful cushion. Main risk is line adjustment as books catch up to his increased usage patterns.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Khris Middleton's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Middleton's three-pointers made prop record is 9-7-0 over/under across 16 games, hitting the over 56.2% of the time. This translates to a solid +7.4% ROI on over bets while under bets show -16.5% returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Khris Middleton 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet the over on Middleton's three-pointers made props. His 56.2% over rate and 1.81 average against 1.69 lines create legitimate value. Focus on lines at 1.5 or below for maximum edge potential.
What's Khris Middleton's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Middleton averages 1.81 three-pointers made per game across all contests. This exceeds the typical line of 1.69 by 0.12 makes per game, providing consistent value for over bettors seeking reliable edges.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Middleton three-point overs when lines stay at 1.5 or below, maximizing the gap between his 1.81 average and the number. His expanded Washington role suggests this production level is sustainable rather than temporary variance.