Khris Middleton's blocks prop has been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting at just 10.0% over the last 10 games with a devastating 1-9-0 record. His 0.1 average sits 0.4 blocks below the typical 0.5 line, generating a robust 71.8% ROI on unders. This trend screams systematic under value.
Expert Analysis
Middleton's blocks drought reflects his evolving role and physical limitations following his return from injury. At 33 years old and playing primarily on the perimeter for Washington, Middleton simply isn't positioned for rim protection opportunities. His 0.1 blocks per game represents a career-low rate, stemming from reduced minutes (averaging 27.8) and a shift toward facilitating offense rather than aggressive defense. The 7-game under streak isn't coincidental—it's structural. Middleton's usage has moved him away from help defense situations where blocks naturally occur. His shot-blocking has always been opportunistic rather than systematic, and his current role minimizes those chances. The -0.4 differential between his average and the standard line suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his diminished defensive impact. Washington's fast-paced style also works against blocks, as fewer half-court possessions mean fewer opportunities for weak-side help. The consistency of this trend—hitting under in 9 of 10 games—indicates this isn't variance but a fundamental shift in how Middleton impacts games. His focus on three-point shooting and playmaking leaves little energy or positioning for shot-blocking, making this one of the more predictable props in the market.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Middleton's role transformation has created a systematic edge that books haven't properly priced. The 0.1 average against a 0.5 line offers exceptional value, supported by his perimeter-focused usage and reduced defensive responsibilities. Target this prop when the line sits at 0.5, as his current role makes even one block unlikely on most nights.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Khris Middleton's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Middleton has gone 1-9-0 over/under on blocks props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 10.0% of the time. His average of 0.1 blocks sits 0.4 below the typical 0.5 line, creating strong under value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Khris Middleton Blocks last 10 games?
Bet the under with high confidence. Middleton's perimeter role and 0.1 average make the standard 0.5 line extremely difficult to clear. The 71.8% ROI on unders reflects systematic mispricing by sportsbooks.
What's Khris Middleton's average Blocks last 10 games?
Middleton averages just 0.1 blocks over his last 10 games, sitting 0.4 blocks below the standard 0.5 line. This massive differential represents one of the largest gaps between performance and pricing in the prop market.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Middleton blocks unders when the line is set at 0.5, especially in up-tempo games where Washington pushes pace. Avoid when he's listed as questionable, as reduced minutes could affect the prop availability.