Kelly Oubre Jr. has been a points prop goldmine over his last 10 games, hitting the over at a 70% clip with a 7-3-0 record. His 17.0 points per game average sits 1.8 points above typical lines, generating a robust +33.6% ROI on overs. This trend leans heavily toward continued over success.
Expert Analysis
Oubre's scoring surge reflects his expanded role in Philadelphia's rotation, where he's consistently finding opportunities to exceed modest expectations. The 1.8-point differential between his actual production and betting lines suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his increased involvement. His current five-game over streak demonstrates remarkable consistency, with only two consecutive unders being his longest cold spell during this sample. The +33.6% ROI on overs indicates significant betting value, while the -42.7% under ROI shows how costly it's been to fade this trend. What makes this particularly compelling is the sustainability factor - Oubre isn't relying on unsustainable shooting percentages or fluky performances. Instead, he's carved out a reliable scoring role that appears to be his new baseline rather than a hot streak. The absence of any lengthy under streaks (maximum two games) suggests strong floor consistency. However, bettors should monitor for any rotation changes or increased competition for touches that could disrupt this pattern. The market's slow adjustment creates ongoing value, but regression remains possible if his role diminishes or the 76ers' offensive distribution shifts significantly.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Oubre's 70% over rate and +1.8 scoring differential create clear betting value, especially with his five-game over streak showing no signs of regression. The ideal spot is when lines remain conservative around his season average, failing to account for his elevated recent role. The primary risk is Philadelphia adjusting rotations or other players returning from injury, potentially reducing Oubre's scoring opportunities and ending this profitable trend.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 15.5 | 20.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 13.5 | 14.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-31 | OPP | 17.5 | 27.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 13.5 | 22.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 14.5 | 18.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 13.5 | 8.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 12.5 | 8.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 18.5 | 32.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 16.5 | 4.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 16.5 | 17.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kelly Oubre Jr.'s Points prop record last 10 games?
Kelly Oubre Jr. has gone over his points prop in 7 of his last 10 games (70% over rate) with a 7-3-0 record. He's averaging 17.0 points per game during this stretch, consistently exceeding typical betting lines by 1.8 points per contest.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kelly Oubre Jr. Points last 10 games?
Bet the over on Kelly Oubre Jr.'s points props. His 70% over rate, +1.8 scoring differential, and current five-game over streak create clear value. The +33.6% ROI on overs shows this trend remains profitable despite the obvious pattern.
What's Kelly Oubre Jr.'s average Points last 10 games?
Kelly Oubre Jr. is averaging 17.0 points per game over his last 10 contests, which sits 1.8 points above typical betting lines of 15.2. This differential has created consistent value for over bettors throughout this recent stretch.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kelly Oubre Jr. points overs when lines remain conservative around his season average, failing to account for his expanded role. Avoid betting during back-to-back situations or when Philadelphia's rotation might change due to returning players from injury.