Kelly Olynyk has quietly delivered consistent three-point production, hitting the over in 6 of his last 10 games with a solid 60% over rate. The veteran forward is averaging 0.8 makes against a 0.7 line, creating a modest +0.1 edge that translates to profitable +14.6% ROI on overs.
Expert Analysis
Olynyk's three-point success stems from his role as a floor-spacing big man in Toronto's system, where his 6'11" frame creates mismatches against traditional centers who struggle to close out on the perimeter. The 0.8 average against a 0.7 line represents meaningful value, especially considering his current four-game over streak demonstrates sustained confidence in his shot selection. What makes this trend particularly compelling is Olynyk's veteran savvy—he's selective with his attempts, typically taking high-percentage looks rather than forcing contested shots. The Raptors' pace and ball movement create natural three-point opportunities for stretch bigs, and Olynyk has capitalized efficiently. However, the sample size remains modest at just 10 games, and his three-point shooting has historically been streaky throughout his career. The +14.6% ROI on overs suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his recent consistency, but regression risk exists given his career volatility from deep. His usage in specific matchups against smaller frontcourts could be the key differentiator moving forward.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Olynyk's 60% over rate and positive differential create legitimate value, particularly during his current hot streak. The veteran's selective shot selection and role in Toronto's spacing-heavy system support continued production above the 0.7 line. Primary risk remains his historical three-point inconsistency and potential regression after this recent surge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Kelly Olynyk props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kelly Olynyk's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Kelly Olynyk has hit the over on his Three Pointers Made prop in 6 of his last 10 games, posting a 60% over rate. He's currently on a four-game over streak with a +14.6% ROI on over bets during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kelly Olynyk 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Kelly Olynyk's Three Pointers Made props. His 60% over rate, positive differential (+0.1 vs line), and current four-game streak create legitimate value, though his historical shooting volatility requires caution with bet sizing.
What's Kelly Olynyk's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Kelly Olynyk is averaging 0.8 Three Pointers Made over his last 10 games compared to a typical line of 0.7. This +0.1 differential above the betting line has generated profitable returns for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kelly Olynyk's Three Pointers Made overs when Toronto faces traditional big men who struggle with perimeter defense. His floor-spacing role creates the best opportunities against slower, less mobile frontcourts that can't effectively close out.