Julius Randle has connected on the three-point over in 6 of his last 10 games (60.0% hit rate), averaging 2.0 makes against a typical 1.9 line. The +14.6% ROI on overs suggests legitimate value despite the modest 0.1 average differential, making this a lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
Julius Randle's recent three-point surge represents a meaningful shift in his offensive approach rather than random variance. His 2.0 average over the last 10 games sits comfortably above the standard 1.9 line, but the real story lies in the consistency—hitting overs in 60% of games with a +14.6% ROI indicates sustainable edge. The Knicks' offensive system has increasingly relied on Randle as a floor-spacer, particularly when Jalen Brunson draws defensive attention in the paint. This role expansion explains why his three-point volume has stabilized at higher levels. The 6-4 over record isn't just hot shooting; it reflects genuine usage changes that books haven't fully adjusted to. His longest over streak of 3 games followed by manageable under streaks of just 2 games maximum suggests he's not prone to extended cold spells that kill over bettors. The key concern is potential regression to his career norms, but his current role in New York's offense supports this elevated three-point frequency. When Randle is engaged as a primary option and the Knicks face teams that don't pack the paint, his three-point attempts naturally increase, creating favorable over conditions.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Randle's 60% over rate and positive ROI reflect genuine offensive role changes rather than unsustainable hot shooting. The 2.0 average against 1.9 lines provides consistent value, especially when the Knicks face teams that allow perimeter looks to forwards. Main risk is books adjusting lines upward, but current pricing hasn't caught up to his expanded three-point role.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Julius Randle props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Julius Randle's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Randle has hit the three-pointers made over in 6 of his last 10 games (60.0% rate) with a 6-4-0 over/under record. This 60% hit rate has generated a +14.6% ROI for over bettors during this 10-game sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Julius Randle 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Randle's three-pointers made props. His 60% over rate, 2.0 average against 1.9 lines, and +14.6% ROI indicate legitimate value. His expanded role as a floor-spacer creates sustainable edge that books haven't fully adjusted to.
What's Julius Randle's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Randle is averaging 2.0 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to the typical 1.9 line, creating a +0.1 differential. This modest but consistent edge has translated to profitable over betting with 60% hit rate.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Randle three-point overs when the Knicks face teams that don't pack the paint defensively and when he's playing his primary role. Avoid when books adjust lines above 2.0 or during potential rest situations that could limit his minutes.