Julian Champagnie's three-pointers made prop shows a compelling 57.9% over rate with 1 day rest, hitting the over in 11 of 19 games while averaging 1.84 makes versus a typical 1.29 line. The +0.55 differential and +10.5% ROI on overs suggests sustainable value when Champagnie gets optimal recovery time.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals Champagnie thrives with precisely one day of rest, averaging 1.84 three-pointers made against lines typically set around 1.29 - a substantial 0.55 differential that translates to genuine betting value. This edge likely stems from the sweet spot of recovery that one day provides: enough time to reset physically and mentally without losing rhythm or game timing. Champagnie's role as a floor-spacing wing for San Antonio means his three-point volume directly correlates with his energy levels and shot selection discipline. The 57.9% over rate across 19 games provides adequate sample size confidence, while the +10.5% ROI on overs demonstrates the market hasn't fully adjusted to this rest-dependent performance pattern. The concerning element is the -19.6% ROI on unders, suggesting when Champagnie fails to hit, he fails decisively - likely due to poor shot selection or reduced minutes in blowouts. The current streak of one over following longer streaks of five overs and four unders indicates volatility, but the underlying rest advantage appears persistent. Sportsbooks may be undervaluing how much that single day of recovery impacts a role player's shooting efficiency and confidence.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 1.84 average against 1.29 lines creates clear value, supported by a 57.9% hit rate and positive ROI. Target this when Champagnie is coming off exactly one day rest, particularly in competitive games where his minutes and shot attempts remain consistent. Main risk is the volatility shown in streak patterns and the potential for reduced playing time in blowout scenarios.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 5.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Julian Champagnie's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Julian Champagnie hits the over on his three-pointers made prop 57.9% of the time with 1 day rest, going 11-8 across 19 games. He averages 1.84 makes in these situations, significantly outpacing typical lines around 1.29.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Julian Champagnie 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Lean over on Champagnie's three-pointers made with 1 day rest. The 0.55 differential between his 1.84 average and standard 1.29 lines creates legitimate value, supported by a 57.9% hit rate and positive ROI on overs.
What's Julian Champagnie's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Champagnie averages 1.84 three-pointers made with 1 day rest compared to typical prop lines of 1.29. This +0.55 differential represents substantial value, as he consistently outperforms market expectations in this specific rest scenario.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Champagnie's three-point props specifically when he has exactly 1 day rest, where he shows a 57.9% over rate. Avoid back-to-back situations or extended rest periods where this edge diminishes significantly.