Bet OVER
6-4 O/U Record
60.0% Over Rate
1.5u Units Won
+14.6% ROI
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Julian Champagnie has hit the over on Three Pointers Made props in 6 of his last 10 games, posting a solid 60.0% over rate with a +14.6% ROI. The San Antonio forward is averaging 2.0 makes against a typical 1.5 line, creating consistent value. Lean Over on his three-point props.

Expert Analysis

Champagnie's three-point success stems from his role as a floor-spacing forward in San Antonio's developing system. The 2.0 average against the standard 1.5 line represents meaningful value, especially considering the Spurs' emphasis on perimeter shooting to complement Victor Wembanyama's interior presence. The 60% over rate suggests books haven't fully adjusted to Champagnie's increased three-point volume in his expanded role. His shooting profile benefits from San Antonio's pace and ball movement, creating quality looks rather than forced attempts. The +14.6% ROI on overs indicates sustainable value, though the limited sample size requires caution. Champagnie's consistency appears tied to his defined role rather than hot streaks, making this trend more reliable than volume-based props. The moderate streak patterns (longest runs of 2) suggest he's not prone to extreme variance. However, the -23.6% under ROI indicates sharp line movement when books do adjust. Road games and back-to-backs could impact his shooting rhythm, while home games with proper rest should favor the over. The Spurs' commitment to developing young talent suggests Champagnie will maintain his three-point opportunities.

Betting Verdict

LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Champagnie's 2.0 average against the 1.5 line creates legitimate value, supported by his defined role in San Antonio's system. The 60% over rate and positive ROI suggest books are slow to adjust to his increased three-point volume. Target overs in home games with adequate rest, but avoid back-to-backs where shooting touch typically suffers. The main risk is sudden line adjustment if books catch up to his production.

6 OVERS (60.0%)
4 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 10 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2025-01-15 OPP 1.5 3.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-11-19 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-10-30 OPP 1.5 1.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-09 OPP 1.5 3.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-04-02 OPP 1.5 1.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-31 OPP 1.5 3.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-03-29 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-03-23 OPP 1.5 0.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-19 OPP 1.5 2.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-11 OPP 1.5 3.0 +1.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 71.4% Over
Away 33.3% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 40.0% Over
Last 10 60.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Julian Champagnie's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?

Julian Champagnie has gone over his Three Pointers Made prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60.0% rate) with a 6-4-0 record. He's averaging 2.0 makes against the typical 1.5 line, generating a +14.6% ROI on overs during this stretch.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Julian Champagnie 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?

Bet over on Julian Champagnie's Three Pointers Made props. His 2.0 average against the 1.5 line creates consistent value, with a 60% over rate and positive ROI indicating books haven't adjusted to his increased three-point volume in San Antonio's system.

What's Julian Champagnie's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?

Julian Champagnie is averaging 2.0 Three Pointers Made over his last 10 games, which is 0.5 makes above the standard 1.5 line. This half-point differential has created consistent value for over bettors during this recent stretch.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Julian Champagnie Three Pointers Made overs during home games with proper rest. His shooting benefits from familiar surroundings and San Antonio's ball movement system. Avoid back-to-back games where shooting touch typically declines and legs affect his three-point accuracy.

Methodology: This analysis covers 10 games from 2024-03-11 to 2025-01-15. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.