Julian Champagnie's three-pointers made prop shows a modest 51.9% over rate across 27 games, but the 1.7 average against a 1.31 line creates a significant +0.4 differential. Despite the slight over tendency, negative ROI on both sides suggests this is a challenging market to beat consistently.
Expert Analysis
Champagnie's three-point production presents an intriguing case study in market efficiency versus player performance. The San Antonio forward's 1.7 average significantly exceeds his typical 1.31 line, suggesting either the market is undervaluing his shooting or he's been running hot over this sample. The 51.9% over rate barely tilts toward overs, but the -1.0% ROI indicates the juice is eating into profits even on the winning side. More concerning is the -8.1% under ROI, suggesting bettors are getting poor value regardless of direction. Champagnie's role as a role player means his three-point attempts likely fluctuate based on game script, opponent defensive schemes, and the Spurs' overall offensive flow. Without clear splits data, we're missing crucial context about home/away performance, opponent strength, or rest advantages that could explain the modest over tendency. The alternating streaks (longest over: 3, longest under: 4) suggest his production lacks consistency, making this prop particularly vulnerable to game-specific factors like foul trouble, blowouts, or defensive matchups that limit his opportunities.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with LOW confidence. The +0.4 differential between Champagnie's average (1.7) and typical line (1.31) provides mathematical edge, but the negative ROI on both sides signals market efficiency challenges. Target games where San Antonio projects to play uptempo or faces weaker perimeter defenses. The main risk is Champagnie's role player status creating volatile minute distributions that can derail three-point opportunities regardless of shooting efficiency.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 5.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Julian Champagnie's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Julian Champagnie's three-pointers made prop shows a 14-13-0 record over/under across 27 games, translating to a 51.9% over rate. He averages 1.7 made threes against typical lines of 1.31, creating a +0.4 differential favoring overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Julian Champagnie 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean toward betting over on Champagnie's three-pointers made props, but with low confidence. The +0.4 average differential provides mathematical edge, though negative ROI on both sides suggests this market is efficiently priced and difficult to beat consistently.
What's Julian Champagnie's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Champagnie averages 1.7 three-pointers made per game across this 27-game sample, significantly exceeding his typical line of 1.31. This +0.4 differential suggests either market undervaluation or recent hot shooting that may regress toward his line.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Champagnie three-point props when San Antonio faces uptempo opponents or weaker perimeter defenses that increase his attempt volume. Avoid games where the Spurs project for blowouts either direction, as garbage time can limit his meaningful playing opportunities.