Jrue Holiday's three-point prop has been a consistent under performer over his last 10 games, hitting the over just 40% of the time with a -0.1 average differential to the 1.5 line. The under trend shows strong momentum with +14.6% ROI, making it the clear preferred side.
Expert Analysis
Holiday's three-point struggles represent a significant departure from his typical shooting patterns, with the veteran guard averaging just 1.4 makes against a standard 1.5 line. This 40% over rate signals a fundamental shift in either his shot selection, role within Boston's offense, or shooting efficiency that bettors can exploit. The -23.6% ROI on overs demonstrates how consistently the market has overvalued his three-point output, while the +14.6% under ROI shows the profitability of fading the number. Holiday's current streak of one under follows a pattern where he's hit longer under streaks of three games, suggesting when he cools off from deep, it tends to persist. The consistency of this underperformance across a 10-game sample provides strong evidence that either his usage has shifted toward more playmaking responsibilities, or his shot selection has become more selective. Given his veteran status and role as a secondary option behind Boston's primary scorers, this reduced three-point volume makes logical sense and appears sustainable rather than a temporary regression.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Holiday's 40% over rate and negative average differential create a clear edge for under bettors, supported by the +14.6% ROI data. The trend appears rooted in role changes rather than temporary shooting variance, making it more likely to continue. Primary risk is Boston's pace increasing or Holiday's usage shifting back toward more aggressive three-point hunting in favorable matchups.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jrue Holiday's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Holiday has gone 4-6-0 over/under on his three-pointers made prop in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 40% of the time. He's averaging 1.4 makes per game against the typical 1.5 line, creating a -0.1 differential that favors under bettors consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jrue Holiday 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet the under on Holiday's three-pointers made props. The 40% over rate and +14.6% ROI on unders over his last 10 games creates a clear edge. His role as facilitator appears to be limiting his three-point volume in Boston's offense.
What's Jrue Holiday's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Holiday is averaging 1.4 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which sits 0.1 below the standard 1.5 line. This negative differential has been consistent enough to generate profitable under betting opportunities with a 60% hit rate on unders.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Holiday's three-point unders when Boston faces slower-paced opponents or when he's coming off games with limited shot attempts. His role as a secondary playmaker makes him most likely to underperform the line in games where ball movement is prioritized.