Jrue Holiday's blocks prop on one day rest presents a slight under edge, going 8-9 over 17 games with a 47.1% over rate. His 0.47 average sits just under the typical 0.5 line, creating modest value on the under despite recent variance.
Expert Analysis
Holiday's blocks production on one day rest reveals a player whose defensive impact doesn't translate to consistent shot-blocking numbers. The 0.47 average against a 0.5 line creates a small but meaningful edge, particularly given the -10.2% ROI on overs versus +1.1% on unders. The current three-game over streak masks a longer pattern of inconsistency - Holiday previously endured a seven-game under streak, highlighting the volatile nature of blocks as a statistic. As a perimeter defender, Holiday's value comes from steals and on-ball pressure rather than rim protection. His role in Boston's defensive scheme typically keeps him away from the paint, limiting block opportunities. The one-day rest factor appears neutral for Holiday's shot-blocking, as his positioning and defensive assignments remain consistent regardless of rest. The modest sample size of 17 games provides reasonable confidence, though blocks remain inherently unpredictable. Holiday's defensive intelligence and anticipation occasionally lead to help-side blocks, but these are sporadic events rather than systematic production. The under bias in this data aligns with his natural playing style and defensive responsibilities.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Holiday's 0.47 average versus the 0.5 line, combined with the positive under ROI, creates modest value despite the recent over streak. His perimeter-focused defensive role limits consistent block opportunities. The current streak suggests potential regression to his established pattern. Risk lies in Boston's pace and potential blowout scenarios increasing his minutes.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jrue Holiday's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Holiday goes 8-9 over/under on blocks props with one day rest, hitting overs just 47.1% of the time over 17 games. His average of 0.47 blocks consistently falls short of typical 0.5 lines.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jrue Holiday Blocks 1 day rest?
Lean under on Holiday's blocks with one day rest. His 0.47 average sits below standard lines, and unders show positive ROI while overs lose money. Current over streak likely regresses to established pattern.
What's Jrue Holiday's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Holiday averages 0.47 blocks on one day rest compared to the standard 0.5 line, creating a -0.03 differential. This small but consistent gap favors under bets in his defensive role.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Holiday blocks unders when he's on one day rest and playing his typical perimeter defensive role. Avoid when Boston faces pace-up spots or potential blowouts that increase his minutes significantly.