Josh Hart's blocks prop has been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 1 of 10 overs (10.0%) while averaging 0.1 blocks against a 0.5 line. The 71.8% ROI on unders reflects a guard consistently falling short of minimal defensive expectations. This represents a strong lean under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Josh Hart's blocks drought stems from his role transformation within the Knicks' defensive scheme. As a versatile wing defender, Hart focuses primarily on perimeter coverage and help defense rather than rim protection or aggressive steal attempts that might generate blocks. His 0.1 average against a 0.5 line represents a massive 80% shortfall, suggesting oddsmakers haven't adjusted to his actual defensive responsibilities. The 9-game under streak indicates systematic underperformance rather than random variance. Hart's 6'5" frame and guard positioning naturally limit shot-blocking opportunities, as he's typically matched against perimeter players rather than driving to the rim. The Knicks' defensive system emphasizes switching and help defense, keeping Hart away from the paint where blocks occur. This trend shows remarkable consistency with only one outlier game disrupting an otherwise perfect under record. The persistence of this pattern suggests structural factors rather than temporary form, making regression unlikely without a significant role change or injury to frontcourt players that might push Hart into more interior defensive situations.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Hart's role as a perimeter-focused defender creates a structural mismatch with the 0.5 blocks line, evidenced by his 90% under rate and microscopic 0.1 average. The ideal betting spot is any game where Hart maintains his standard wing role without frontcourt injuries forcing interior responsibility. The main risk is a blowout scenario where garbage time creates unusual positioning, though even then blocks remain unlikely given his defensive assignments.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Josh Hart's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Hart went 1-9-0 over/under on blocks props in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of overs. He averaged only 0.1 blocks per game against typical 0.5 lines, creating a massive -0.4 differential that favored under bettors consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Josh Hart Blocks last 10 games?
Bet under on Hart's blocks props. His 90% under rate and 0.1 average against 0.5 lines create excellent value, with under bets showing 71.8% ROI. His perimeter defensive role structurally limits shot-blocking opportunities compared to interior defenders.
What's Josh Hart's average Blocks last 10 games?
Hart averaged 0.1 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, falling significantly short of the typical 0.5 line. This -0.4 differential represents an 80% shortfall, indicating consistent underperformance against market expectations for his defensive production.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Hart blocks unders when he's playing his standard wing role without frontcourt injuries. Avoid betting during potential blowouts or when Knicks have interior players sidelined, as these scenarios might force unusual positioning that could increase blocking opportunities.