Jeremy Sochan's three-pointers made prop in away games presents a clear under opportunity with a 53.6% under rate across 28 games. His 0.82 average significantly trails the typical 0.57 line, creating consistent value despite a modest +0.25 differential that suggests occasional variance.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Jeremy Sochan's limited three-point production on the road. His 46.4% over rate across 28 away games reveals a player whose shooting volume and efficiency consistently fall short of market expectations. The 0.82 average against a 0.57 line initially appears favorable for overs, but the negative ROI on over bets (-11.4%) exposes the trap. Sochan's role as a versatile forward emphasizes defense and playmaking over perimeter shooting, particularly in hostile road environments where rhythm becomes harder to establish. The longest under streak of six games demonstrates his capacity for extended cold spells, while the longest over streak of just four games suggests his hot shooting is more fleeting. San Antonio's pace and offensive system likely contribute to this trend, as the young Spurs often struggle to generate quality looks for role players like Sochan in away venues. The modest positive ROI on under bets (+2.3%) indicates this edge has been profitable, though not dramatically so. Road games typically feature tighter defensive schemes and less favorable shooting conditions, factors that disproportionately impact a player like Sochan whose three-point shooting isn't his primary skill. The consistency of this under trend, combined with his defined role limitations, suggests this pattern should persist rather than regress significantly.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Sochan's 53.6% under rate in away games reflects his limited role as a perimeter shooter, particularly in challenging road environments. The +2.3% ROI on under bets provides a modest but consistent edge. Target this when the line sits at 0.5 or higher, as Sochan's 0.82 average suggests he'll frequently fail to reach even modest thresholds. Main risk is variance during hot shooting stretches, but his defensive-focused role makes sustained three-point production unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Jeremy Sochan's three-pointers made prop in away games shows a 13-15-0 over/under record (46.4% overs) across 28 games. This 53.6% under rate demonstrates consistent value on the under side with a +2.3% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan 3-Pointers Made away games?
Lean under on Jeremy Sochan's three-pointers made in away games. His 53.6% under rate and positive under ROI (+2.3%) provide a consistent edge, particularly when the line is set at 0.5 or higher given his limited shooting role.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Jeremy Sochan averages 0.82 three-pointers made in away games against a typical line of 0.57. While this +0.25 differential appears favorable for overs, the negative over ROI (-11.4%) reveals this edge is misleading due to his inconsistent shooting.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jeremy Sochan three-point unders in away games when the line is 0.5 or higher. Road environments where San Antonio faces strong defensive teams provide the best conditions, as his role focuses on defense rather than perimeter shooting.