Jeremy Sochan's steals prop shows genuine road value with a 56.0% over rate (14-11-0 record) and positive 6.9% ROI on overs. His 0.84 road average sits comfortably above the typical 0.5 line, creating a +0.3 differential that suggests consistent undervaluation. LEAN OVER on road games.
Expert Analysis
Sochan's road steals advantage stems from his defensive versatility and San Antonio's increased pace away from home. The 6.9% ROI on overs indicates genuine market inefficiency, not random variance. His 0.84 road average against a 0.5 line creates meaningful separation, suggesting books haven't fully adjusted to his defensive impact in hostile environments. The 56.0% over rate across 25 games provides solid sample size confidence, while the recent single-game under streak appears more like natural variance than systematic regression. Road games often feature higher possession counts and more aggressive defensive schemes, both factors that favor active defenders like Sochan. The concerning element is the -16.0% under ROI, indicating when this trend fails, it fails decisively. However, the 6-game over streak maximum suggests sustainable rather than unsustainable hot streaks. Sochan's role as a switchable defender who guards multiple positions creates more steal opportunities, particularly against unfamiliar offensive sets on the road. The lack of dramatic splits data actually strengthens the case, suggesting consistent performance regardless of opponent strength or game script.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.84 road average against 0.5 lines creates clear mathematical advantage, supported by positive 6.9% ROI over 25 games. Target road games against pace-up opponents or teams with high turnover rates for maximum value. Main risk is the volatile nature of steals props and potential line adjustments as books recognize this pattern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's Steals prop record away games?
Jeremy Sochan's steals prop record in away games stands at 14-11-0, hitting the over 56.0% of the time across 25 road contests. This translates to a profitable 6.9% ROI when betting overs on his road steals props.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan Steals away games?
Bet OVER on Jeremy Sochan's steals in away games. His 0.84 road average comfortably exceeds the typical 0.5 line, creating a +0.3 differential with proven 6.9% ROI over a meaningful 25-game sample size.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average Steals away games?
Jeremy Sochan averages 0.84 steals per game on the road, sitting +0.3 above the standard 0.5 line. This differential has translated into consistent over performance, hitting 56.0% of the time across his road sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jeremy Sochan's steals overs specifically in road games against pace-up opponents or turnover-prone teams. His defensive versatility and the increased pace of road environments create optimal conditions for steal production above market expectations.