Jeremy Sochan's rebounds prop shows a clear over bias with 54.4% overs across 57 games, generating a solid +3.8% ROI on over bets. His 6.19 average consistently beats the 5.97 line by 0.2 rebounds, creating a sustainable edge. Lean Over with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Sochan's rebounding consistency stems from his versatile role in San Antonio's system, where he operates as a switchable forward who crashes the glass from multiple positions. The 6.19 average against a 5.97 line represents a meaningful 3.7% edge that has persisted across a substantial 57-game sample. The +3.8% ROI on overs indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to his rebounding production, likely undervaluing his motor and positioning. His ability to grab boards from both forward spots gives him multiple avenues to reach his number, reducing variance compared to traditional big men who rely solely on paint positioning. The balanced streak pattern (longest over and under both at 5 games) suggests sustainable performance rather than hot/cold streaks. However, the -12.9% ROI on unders warns against fading this trend, as Sochan rarely disappears completely from the glass. His youth and energy level make regression less likely than with older players, while his expanding role in San Antonio's rebuild should maintain consistent minutes and opportunities.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Sochan's 54.4% over rate and +3.8% ROI reflect genuine value against a market that underprices his rebounding consistency. The 0.2 average differential above the line provides a cushion that has proven sustainable across 57 games. Target this prop when the line sits at 5.5 or 6.0, as his versatility and motor create multiple paths to success. Main risk is potential minute restrictions in blowouts, but his energy typically keeps him productive regardless of game flow.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 6.5 | 0.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 7.5 | 3.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 7.5 | 10.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 6.5 | 10.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 10.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 5.5 | 0.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 6.5 | 4.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 6.5 | 13.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's Rebounds prop record all games?
Jeremy Sochan's rebounds prop record is 31-26-0 over/under across 57 games, hitting overs 54.4% of the time. This translates to a profitable +3.8% ROI on over bets while under bets have lost -12.9% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan Rebounds all games?
Bet over on Jeremy Sochan's rebounds props. His 54.4% over rate and +3.8% ROI indicate genuine market value, with his 6.19 average consistently beating the typical 5.97 line by 0.2 rebounds per game.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average Rebounds all games?
Jeremy Sochan averages 6.19 rebounds per game across all games, which is 0.2 rebounds above the typical line of 5.97. This differential represents a 3.7% edge that has proven sustainable over 57 games.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sochan's rebounds overs when the line is set at 5.5 or 6.0, maximizing the value from his 6.19 average. His consistent motor and versatile positioning make him reliable regardless of game script or opponent.