Jeremy Sochan's away points props present a slight under edge with his 15-16-0 record hitting just 48.4% overs. His 11.39 average sits 0.1 points below the typical 11.5 line, generating a modest -1.5% ROI on unders. This creates a lean under opportunity in road environments.
Expert Analysis
Sochan's away scoring struggles reflect the classic road challenges facing young players in secondary roles. His 48.4% over rate suggests books are pricing his line accurately, but the slight under-performance creates value for contrarian bettors. The -0.1 point differential between his average and the standard line appears minimal, yet in low-scoring prop markets, even fractional edges compound over time. Sochan's role as a versatile forward often fluctuates based on matchups and game flow, making his scoring output particularly volatile on the road where San Antonio faces tougher defensive schemes and hostile environments. The lack of dramatic splits suggests this is a consistent pattern rather than matchup-dependent variance. His recent two-game over streak shouldn't overshadow the broader 31-game sample showing slight under tendencies. The key concern is regression potential - if Sochan's role expands or his shot selection improves, this edge could evaporate quickly. However, his current usage patterns and the Spurs' offensive hierarchy suggest this trend has staying power through the season's remainder.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Sochan's consistent under-performance away from home, combined with his 11.39 average sitting below the typical 11.5 line, creates a sustainable edge for patient bettors. Target games where San Antonio faces elite defenses or plays on back-to-backs when his energy might dip. The main risk is role expansion if injuries hit the Spurs' frontcourt, potentially boosting his usage and scoring opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 14.5 | 17.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 12.5 | 20.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 14.5 | 9.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 10.5 | 0.0 | -10.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 13.5 | 1.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 12.5 | 15.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 11.5 | 16.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 12.5 | 10.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 10.5 | 16.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 10.5 | 8.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 11.5 | 9.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 11.5 | 6.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 11.5 | 14.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 12.5 | 23.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 13.5 | 11.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's Points prop record away games?
Jeremy Sochan has gone over his points prop in 15 of 31 away games (48.4% over rate) with a 15-16-0 record. His under bets have generated a -1.5% ROI compared to -7.6% on overs, indicating slight value on the under.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan Points away games?
Lean under on Sochan's away points props. His 11.39 road average consistently falls short of the typical 11.5 line, and the 48.4% over rate suggests books are slightly overvaluing his road scoring in hostile environments.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average Points away games?
Sochan averages 11.39 points in away games, sitting 0.1 points below the standard 11.5 line. This small but consistent gap creates value for under bettors willing to capitalize on his road struggles over a large sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sochan under props when San Antonio faces top-10 defenses on the road or during back-to-back situations. His secondary role becomes more pronounced in challenging road environments where the Spurs rely heavily on their primary scorers.