Jeremy Sochan's blocks prop shows moderate over value with a 6-4-0 record (60.0% over rate) and +14.6% ROI on overs in his last 10 games. His 0.8 blocks per game exactly matches the typical line, creating a push-heavy scenario. Lean Over with medium conviction given the positive ROI trend.
Expert Analysis
Jeremy Sochan's blocks production presents an intriguing case study in defensive consistency versus variance. The 6-4 over record masks the fact that Sochan is averaging exactly 0.8 blocks per game against a 0.8 line, suggesting books have his number dialed in precisely. However, the +14.6% ROI on overs indicates profitable betting opportunities despite the tight margin. Sochan's defensive role as a versatile forward allows him multiple opportunities for blocks through help defense and perimeter switches, but his 6'9" frame limits his rim protection compared to traditional centers. The recent 1-game under streak breaks a pattern that saw him hit a 4-game over streak earlier in the sample, highlighting the volatility inherent in blocks props. The concerning -23.6% under ROI suggests significant juice on the wrong side, but also indicates that when Sochan fails to reach his line, he tends to fall well short rather than narrowly missing. His blocks production appears most vulnerable in uptempo games where defensive positioning becomes less structured, and strongest when San Antonio plays methodical, half-court basketball that allows for better help defense positioning.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +14.6% over ROI combined with a 60% hit rate creates modest value despite the exact average-to-line match. Sochan's defensive versatility provides multiple avenues to accumulate blocks, and the significant negative under ROI suggests books may be slightly undervaluing his ceiling games. Target overs in slower-paced matchups against teams that attack the rim frequently, but avoid in fast-break heavy games where defensive structure breaks down.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Jeremy Sochan has gone over his blocks prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60% over rate) with a 6-4-0 record. This translates to a +14.6% ROI for over bettors while under bets have lost -23.6% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan Blocks last 10 games?
Lean over on Jeremy Sochan's blocks props. The 60% over rate and +14.6% ROI indicate consistent value, while his versatile defensive role provides multiple opportunities to accumulate blocks through help defense and perimeter switches.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average Blocks last 10 games?
Jeremy Sochan is averaging exactly 0.8 blocks per game over his last 10 games, which perfectly matches the typical 0.8 line set by sportsbooks. This creates frequent push scenarios that slightly favor over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jeremy Sochan's blocks overs in slower-paced games against teams that frequently attack the rim, allowing for structured help defense. Avoid overs in fast-break heavy matchups where defensive positioning becomes less predictable and block opportunities diminish.