Jeremy Sochan's blocks prop away from home presents a subtle under edge despite averaging 0.68 blocks against a 0.5 line. His 48.0% over rate across 25 road games shows consistent line value, with the under posting a superior -0.7% ROI versus -8.4% on overs.
Expert Analysis
Sochan's road blocks production reveals a fascinating disconnect between raw averages and betting value. While his 0.68 blocks per game easily clears the standard 0.5 line, the 48.0% over rate tells a different story about consistency. This suggests the market occasionally inflates his line based on that average, creating spots where the under becomes profitable. The forward's defensive impact fluctuates significantly based on matchup dynamics and foul trouble, two factors that become more pronounced in hostile road environments. Sochan's aggressive defensive style, which generates blocks, also leads to early foul trouble away from home where officials tend to be less forgiving. The -8.4% ROI on overs indicates the market may be overvaluing his ceiling performances while underestimating how often he fails to reach even modest block totals. Road games typically feature different rotations and pace, potentially limiting his defensive opportunities. His current two-game over streak, following a pattern of streaky performance, suggests potential regression is due. The lack of detailed splits makes this trend heavily dependent on situational factors that aren't immediately apparent in the base numbers.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The superior under ROI (-0.7% vs -8.4%) combined with the sub-50% over rate creates a slight edge despite Sochan averaging above the line. Target spots where the line moves to 0.5+ or when facing high-pace teams that could force him into foul trouble. Main risk is his defensive upside in favorable matchups against slower frontcourts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's Blocks prop record away games?
Sochan posts a 12-13-0 over/under record on blocks props in away games, hitting the over just 48.0% of the time across 25 road contests. This translates to a slightly negative trend for over bettors despite his solid 0.68 blocks per game average.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan Blocks away games?
Lean toward the under on Sochan's blocks props in away games. The under shows better ROI (-0.7% vs -8.4%) and his 48% over rate suggests the market occasionally overvalues his block potential on the road.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average Blocks away games?
Sochan averages 0.68 blocks per game in away contests, which sits 0.18 blocks above the typical 0.5 line. However, this average masks inconsistent performance that creates value on the under despite the positive differential.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sochan blocks unders when the line reaches 0.5+ or when he faces high-pace teams that could force foul trouble. His aggressive style creates more volatility on the road, making selective under betting the preferred approach.