Jeremy Sochan's assists props show clear under value in away games, hitting just 45.2% overs across 31 games with a -13.8% ROI on overs versus +4.7% on unders. His 3.29 average sits 0.1 assists below the typical line, creating consistent under opportunities.
Expert Analysis
Sochan's away assist struggles stem from his role as a defensive-minded forward who handles secondary playmaking duties rather than primary creation. The 45.2% over rate reflects the market's tendency to overvalue his passing upside based on his 6'9" frame and versatility. Road environments typically amplify this issue for role players like Sochan, as offensive schemes become more conservative and star players shoulder increased creation responsibilities. The -0.1 differential between his actual average and the betting line represents genuine value, not a statistical fluke. San Antonio's pace and offensive system contribute to this trend, as they rank among the slower teams in transition opportunities where Sochan might accumulate easier assists. The consistency of this under performance across 31 games suggests market inefficiency rather than temporary variance. Sochan's assist totals depend heavily on teammate shot-making, which tends to decline on the road due to unfamiliar rims and hostile environments. His defensive focus often limits offensive involvement in crucial stretches, particularly in tight away games where his energy gets channeled into stopping opposing scorers rather than facilitating offense.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 4.7% ROI on unders combined with the consistent -0.1 line differential creates legitimate value betting against Sochan's assist props in away games. Target this when lines sit at 3.5 or higher, as his 3.29 average provides solid cushion. Main risk involves potential role expansion if injuries hit San Antonio's backcourt.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 3.5 | 8.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's Assists prop record away games?
Sochan's assists props in away games show a 14-17-0 over/under record, hitting overs just 45.2% of the time across 31 games. This translates to a -13.8% ROI on overs while unders produced a positive 4.7% return for bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan Assists away games?
Bet under on Sochan's assists in away games. His 3.29 average sits below typical lines, the 45.2% over rate shows consistent market overvaluation, and unders have generated positive 4.7% ROI compared to -13.8% losses on overs.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average Assists away games?
Sochan averages 3.29 assists in away games, which runs 0.1 assists below the typical betting line of 3.37. This small but consistent gap has created profitable under opportunities across his 31-game away sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sochan assist unders when lines reach 3.5 or higher in away games, particularly against strong defensive teams that limit San Antonio's pace. Avoid when key Spurs guards are injured, as his playmaking role could expand significantly.