Jeremy Sochan's assists prop presents a perfectly balanced coin flip with a 50.9% over rate across 55 games, averaging 3.42 against a 3.41 line. The razor-thin 0.01 differential and negative ROI on both sides suggest efficient market pricing with minimal edge available.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals Jeremy Sochan's assists production as remarkably consistent with market expectations, creating a textbook example of efficient pricing. His 3.42 average against a 3.41 line represents virtually perfect alignment, while the 50.9% over rate confirms books have accurately assessed his playmaking ceiling. The negative ROI on both sides (-2.8% over, -6.3% under) indicates the market has absorbed his usage patterns and eliminated exploitable edges. Sochan's role as a versatile forward limits his primary ball-handling responsibilities, creating natural variance around his assist total without clear directional bias. The absence of split data suggests consistent performance across different game contexts, further supporting the market's accurate assessment. His recent development as a playmaker appears fully priced into current lines, with neither regression nor progression strongly indicated. The modest streak patterns (longest runs of 5 overs, 4 unders) demonstrate typical variance without sustainable momentum. This represents a mature betting market where sharp money has eliminated obvious opportunities, making this prop more suitable for entertainment betting than serious profit-seeking.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The perfectly balanced 50.9% over rate and minimal 0.01 average differential indicate the market has accurately priced Jeremy Sochan's assists production. Both sides show negative ROI, confirming the absence of exploitable edges. Without additional context like injury reports, pace spots, or specific matchup advantages, this prop offers no meaningful betting value for serious players.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jeremy Sochan's Assists prop record all games?
Jeremy Sochan's assists prop shows a 28-27-0 over/under record across 55 games, translating to a 50.9% over rate. This near-perfect split demonstrates exceptional market efficiency in pricing his playmaking production.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jeremy Sochan Assists all games?
Pass on Jeremy Sochan's assists props in standard situations. The 50.9% over rate with negative ROI on both sides indicates no edge exists. Only consider betting with specific injury news or pace-up spots that books haven't adjusted for.
What's Jeremy Sochan's average Assists all games?
Jeremy Sochan averages 3.42 assists per game against a typical line of 3.41, creating just a 0.01 positive differential. This minimal gap indicates the market has accurately assessed his playmaking production and role within San Antonio's offense.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Jeremy Sochan's assists props without additional context. The balanced historical performance suggests waiting for specific injury situations, pace-up spots, or line movement that creates temporary market inefficiencies rather than betting the standard number.