Jerami Grant's assists prop presents a marginal edge toward the under, hitting just 48.8% overs across 41 games with a slight 2.78 average against the 2.7 line. The -2.2% under ROI versus -6.9% over ROI suggests consistent value on the downside for this defensive-minded forward.
Expert Analysis
Grant's assist production reflects his role as Portland's primary defensive stopper rather than a primary facilitator. His 2.78 average barely exceeds the typical 2.5-2.7 lines, creating a narrow margin that favors the under when accounting for variance. The 48.8% over rate demonstrates books have found the sweet spot, but the superior under ROI indicates Grant's assist ceiling remains limited by his usage pattern. As a wing defender asked to guard opposing scorers, Grant's offensive responsibilities center on spacing and finishing rather than playmaking. His assist numbers lack the volatility seen in primary ball-handlers, making them more predictable but also capped by his secondary role in Portland's offense. The Trail Blazers' pace and ball movement system influences these numbers, but Grant's individual limitations as a passer create a consistent downward pull. Without significant role changes or injury-driven usage spikes, Grant's assist production should continue hovering near his season average, making the under a steady if unspectacular play.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Grant's 48.8% over rate and superior under ROI (-2.2% vs -6.9%) indicate consistent value on the downside. His role as a defensive specialist limits playmaking opportunities, keeping assists predictably low. Target unders when lines reach 2.5 or higher, especially in games where Portland faces elite perimeter scorers requiring Grant's full defensive attention.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 9.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
Compare Jerami Grant props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jerami Grant's Assists prop record all games?
Grant's assists prop record shows 20 overs and 21 unders across 41 games, hitting the over just 48.8% of the time. His average of 2.78 assists barely exceeds the typical 2.7 line, creating tight margins for bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jerami Grant Assists all games?
Lean under on Grant's assists props. The superior under ROI (-2.2% vs -6.9% for overs) and 48.8% over rate indicate consistent value betting the downside, especially when lines reach 2.5 or higher.
What's Jerami Grant's average Assists all games?
Grant averages 2.78 assists per game, just 0.08 above the standard 2.7 line. This minimal differential creates narrow margins, but the slight edge favors under bets given his limited playmaking role in Portland's system.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Grant's assists unders when facing elite perimeter scorers requiring his full defensive focus, or when lines inflate to 2.5+. Avoid overs in pace-up spots where his defensive responsibilities typically increase rather than his playmaking opportunities.