Jalen Suggs has hit over on three-pointers made just 30% of the time over his last 10 games, averaging 1.7 makes against a 2.3 line for a -0.6 differential. The under has delivered a 33.6% ROI while overs have hemorrhaged -42.7%. This is a clear lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
Jalen Suggs's three-point struggles over this 10-game sample reveal a player whose shot selection and efficiency have diverged from market expectations. The 1.7 average against a 2.3 line represents a significant 26% shortfall that suggests either inflated lines or genuine shooting regression. The 70% under rate isn't just noise—it's a pattern backed by concrete performance data. Suggs's recent hot streak of two consecutive overs might fool casual bettors, but it follows a brutal six-game under streak that established the foundation of this trend. The -0.6 differential is substantial enough to indicate this isn't just variance around a fair line. Orlando's pace and Suggs's role within their offensive system appear to be limiting his three-point volume or quality of looks. Without split data to identify specific matchup advantages, the consistency of the underperformance becomes even more telling. The 33.6% ROI on unders demonstrates that books haven't fully adjusted to Suggs's current three-point reality, creating exploitable value for sharp bettors who recognize when a player's market perception lags behind their actual production.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Suggs's 1.7 average against typical 2.3 lines creates consistent value on unders, supported by a 70% hit rate and positive ROI. The recent two-game over streak actually provides better under entry points as casual money inflates lines. Primary risk is a shooting variance correction, but the sample size and magnitude of underperformance suggest sustainable edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jalen Suggs's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Suggs has gone over his three-pointers made prop just 3 times in 10 games (30% rate) with a 3-7-0 record. Under bets have hit 7 times while delivering a +33.6% ROI compared to -42.7% for overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jalen Suggs 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet under on Suggs three-pointers made props. His 1.7 average is 0.6 makes below typical lines, and unders have hit 70% of the time with positive ROI. The trend shows no signs of meaningful regression.
What's Jalen Suggs's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Suggs is averaging 1.7 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to the typical 2.3 line, creating a -0.6 differential. This 26% shortfall has been consistent enough to generate profitable under opportunities.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Suggs three-point unders after he hits an over, as casual money tends to inflate lines. His recent two-game over streak creates ideal entry points, especially when lines move above 2.5 makes.