Jalen Green's blocks prop presents a compelling under opportunity with just 28.1% overs across 57 games. At 0.33 blocks per game against a 0.5 line, Green consistently falls short by 0.2 blocks nightly. The under delivers +37.3% ROI while overs hemorrhage -46.4%.
Expert Analysis
Jalen Green's blocking profile reveals a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and reality. As Houston's primary scoring guard, Green averages just 0.33 blocks per game while consistently facing a 0.5 line that assumes he'll record at least one block every other game. The mathematics are stark: Green hits the over in fewer than three out of every ten contests, creating a systematic edge for under bettors. This isn't a temporary slump but rather a reflection of Green's role and physical profile. At 6'4" and focused primarily on perimeter offense, Green lacks the size and defensive positioning to consistently generate blocks. His 16-41-0 record over 57 games represents a large enough sample to establish clear expectations. The longest under streak of nine games demonstrates how extended dry spells are common for Green's blocking output. With no split data suggesting favorable matchups or situations where Green significantly exceeds his baseline, this trend appears remarkably consistent across different opponents and game contexts. The -0.2 differential between his average and the line creates a mathematical edge that compounds over multiple bets.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Green's 28.1% over rate and -0.2 average differential create a systematic edge that's unlikely to regress significantly. The sample size of 57 games provides strong statistical foundation, while his role as a scoring-focused guard limits blocking opportunities. Risk exists in potential defensive scheme changes or favorable matchups against turnover-prone opponents, but the consistency of this trend makes the under the clear play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jalen Green's Blocks prop record all games?
Jalen Green's blocks prop record across all games shows 16 overs, 41 unders, and 0 pushes in 57 total games. This translates to just 28.1% overs, meaning the under hits more than 7 out of every 10 times.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jalen Green Blocks all games?
Bet the under on Jalen Green's blocks props. With only 28.1% overs and a +37.3% ROI for under bettors, this represents one of the most consistent edges available. Green's role and size limit his blocking opportunities significantly.
What's Jalen Green's average Blocks all games?
Jalen Green averages 0.33 blocks per game across all contests, falling 0.2 blocks short of the typical 0.5 line. This consistent deficit means he needs to exceed his average by 50% just to hit the over.
How reliable is this trend?
Any game presents value for Green's blocks under, as no split data reveals particularly favorable conditions for overs. Focus on games where the line remains at 0.5, as this creates the maximum mathematical edge given his 0.33 average.